NTIC
Northern Technologies International Corporation Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals Investor Relations →
Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) closed at $8.04 as of 2026-06-19, trading 27.3% below its 200-week moving average of $11.07. This places NTIC in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -27.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 26, NTIC is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1738 weeks of data, NTIC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NTIC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.2%.
With a market cap of $76 million, NTIC is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 0.4%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Share count has increased 2.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NTIC would have grown to $694, compared to $3011 for the S&P 500. NTIC has returned 6.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NTIC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NTIC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 39 historical episodes, buying NTIC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +24.6% after 12 months (median +14.0%), compared to +11.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +43.7% vs +26.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NTIC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. NTIC currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NTIC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NTIC has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +24.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1993 | Jun 1993 | 2 | 3.7% | +9.9% | +723.1% |
| Aug 1993 | Aug 1993 | 1 | 0.3% | +0.5% | +704.4% |
| Sep 1993 | Nov 1993 | 9 | 0.6% | +64.5% | +704.4% |
| Dec 1993 | Dec 1993 | 1 | 0.6% | +68.8% | +700.4% |
| Jan 1994 | Feb 1994 | 3 | 3.3% | +34.6% | +700.4% |
| Feb 1994 | Mar 1994 | 4 | 1.1% | +34.6% | +700.4% |
| Apr 1994 | May 1994 | 3 | 7.8% | +90.9% | +759.0% |
| Jun 1994 | Aug 1994 | 7 | 10.3% | +176.0% | +780.5% |
| Aug 1998 | Feb 1999 | 24 | 23.1% | +0.4% | +220.9% |
| Mar 1999 | Jun 1999 | 15 | 19.8% | +17.8% | +201.9% |
| Aug 1999 | Sep 1999 | 3 | 7.4% | +21.9% | +207.6% |
| Oct 1999 | Dec 1999 | 8 | 18.3% | +6.4% | +201.9% |
| Apr 2000 | Jul 2000 | 14 | 12.6% | -31.2% | +188.9% |
| Sep 2000 | Apr 2003 | 135 | 47.8% | -31.2% | +174.0% |
| Jul 2003 | Aug 2003 | 5 | 6.5% | +1.6% | +278.7% |
| Nov 2003 | Dec 2003 | 3 | 2.8% | +27.6% | +286.4% |
| Apr 2004 | Jun 2004 | 8 | 5.8% | +34.0% | +312.2% |
| Jun 2004 | Jul 2004 | 3 | 1.9% | +31.5% | +305.0% |
| Mar 2008 | Apr 2008 | 4 | 7.0% | -17.2% | +154.5% |
| Nov 2008 | Aug 2009 | 38 | 42.0% | +10.6% | +165.1% |
| Sep 2009 | Dec 2009 | 13 | 13.9% | +16.5% | +131.2% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 3 | 8.5% | -5.3% | +62.7% |
| Jul 2012 | Jan 2013 | 27 | 14.7% | +3.5% | +72.8% |
| Apr 2013 | Jul 2013 | 15 | 13.6% | +88.8% | +70.8% |
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2015 | 1 | 1.8% | -12.1% | +17.9% |
| Aug 2015 | Mar 2017 | 80 | 37.5% | -11.4% | +21.9% |
| Apr 2017 | Jul 2017 | 11 | 8.1% | +90.4% | +16.0% |
| Sep 2017 | Oct 2017 | 1 | 1.6% | +112.3% | +11.1% |
| Oct 2017 | Nov 2017 | 4 | 3.5% | +109.3% | +11.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Jan 2021 | 44 | 39.1% | +47.3% | -15.9% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 2 | 5.6% | +6.5% | -30.6% |
| Feb 2022 | Sep 2022 | 31 | 23.6% | +0.6% | -33.5% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 17 | 10.9% | +21.0% | -28.6% |
| Nov 2023 | Jan 2024 | 7 | 10.2% | +33.4% | -22.5% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 1 | 3.6% | -13.7% | -30.1% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 3 | 2.8% | -40.6% | -35.9% |
| Sep 2024 | Nov 2024 | 11 | 7.1% | -37.1% | -34.6% |
| Dec 2024 | Dec 2024 | 1 | 0.2% | -41.3% | -37.6% |
| Jan 2025 | Ongoing | 75+ | 45.3% | Ongoing | -37.0% |
| Average | 16 | — | +24.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTIC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) is trading 27.3% below its 200-week moving average of $11.07. The current price is $8.04.
What is NTIC's 200-week moving average price?
Northern Technologies International Corporation's 200-week moving average is $11.07 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NTIC drops below its 200-week moving average?
NTIC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is NTIC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NTIC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 26 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 0.4%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NTIC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in NTIC would have grown to $694, compared to $3011 for the S&P 500. That's 6.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. NTIC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19