NTCT
NetScout Systems, Inc. Technology - Software - Infrastructure Investor Relations →
NetScout Systems, Inc. (NTCT) closed at $27.67 as of 2026-02-02, trading 6.5% above its 200-week moving average of $25.97. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 7.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1334 weeks of data, NTCT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NTCT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.9%.
With a market cap of $1998 million, NTCT is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 6.1%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Over the past 25.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NTCT would have grown to $205, compared to $763 for the S&P 500. NTCT has returned 2.8% annualized vs 8.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.6% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: NTCT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NTCT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying NTCT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.8% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +14.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 61% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.0% vs +25.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NTCT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NTCT has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +13.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2000 | Sep 2000 | 9 | 34.9% | -61.5% | +78.5% |
| Oct 2000 | Jan 2004 | 169 | 78.7% | -71.2% | +40.1% |
| Feb 2004 | Mar 2004 | 6 | 12.3% | -24.0% | +284.3% |
| Apr 2004 | Oct 2004 | 26 | 27.7% | -46.5% | +301.0% |
| Jan 2005 | Jan 2005 | 3 | 8.5% | +0.5% | +357.4% |
| Feb 2005 | May 2005 | 13 | 37.4% | +20.3% | +405.9% |
| Aug 2005 | Jan 2006 | 23 | 12.3% | +18.1% | +402.2% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 1 | 1.5% | +51.5% | +372.2% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 | 4.4% | +64.2% | +247.6% |
| Nov 2008 | Dec 2008 | 2 | 19.5% | +85.9% | +310.5% |
| Mar 2009 | Apr 2009 | 7 | 24.2% | +125.9% | +303.4% |
| May 2009 | Jul 2009 | 8 | 4.6% | +61.3% | +222.5% |
| Jul 2009 | Jul 2009 | 1 | 1.2% | +75.7% | +205.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 11 | 20.9% | +73.0% | +103.9% |
| Dec 2015 | Nov 2016 | 49 | 37.8% | +6.7% | -10.9% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 5.1% | +1.5% | -10.0% |
| Dec 2016 | Jan 2017 | 6 | 5.4% | -1.1% | -13.3% |
| Jul 2017 | Feb 2020 | 134 | 30.2% | -8.6% | -18.1% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2020 | 42 | 26.6% | +9.8% | +7.7% |
| Apr 2021 | May 2021 | 1 | 1.9% | +17.6% | +5.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 3 | 2.5% | -21.0% | +0.5% |
| Apr 2023 | May 2023 | 2 | 4.0% | -31.3% | -2.1% |
| Jul 2023 | Oct 2025 | 117 | 37.4% | -27.6% | N/A |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 1 | 0.9% | N/A | +6.5% |
| Average | 26 | — | +13.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02