NRG
NRG Energy, Inc. Utilities - Utilities - Independent Power Producers Investor Relations →
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) closed at $145.80 as of 2026-03-20, trading 82.6% above its 200-week moving average of $79.85. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 92.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 42, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.55 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1115 weeks of data, NRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NRG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.8%.
With a market cap of $31.0 billion, NRG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.5%. Return on equity stands at 41.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 26.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 17.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 21.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NRG would have grown to $1236, compared to $820 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.5% vs 10.3% for the index — confirming NRG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NRG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NRG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying NRG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.7% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +16.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.4% vs +27.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NRG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NRG has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +13.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2012 | 205 | 48.7% | +1.8% | +639.4% |
| Oct 2012 | Dec 2012 | 5 | 6.6% | +36.1% | +816.5% |
| Feb 2015 | Mar 2015 | 3 | 2.9% | -52.0% | +675.3% |
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 1 | 0.8% | -44.7% | +675.0% |
| Jun 2015 | Jul 2017 | 107 | 61.9% | -40.2% | +663.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 16.8% | +64.6% | +646.4% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 2 | 2.4% | +45.5% | +471.1% |
| Nov 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 0.6% | +22.8% | +454.4% |
| May 2021 | May 2021 | 1 | 2.4% | +49.5% | +417.8% |
| Dec 2022 | Jun 2023 | 29 | 12.7% | +54.4% | +389.9% |
| Average | 36 | — | +13.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NRG below its 200-week moving average?
No. NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) is currently 82.6% above its 200-week moving average of $79.85. It would need to fall to $79.85 to cross below the line.
What is NRG's 200-week moving average price?
NRG Energy, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $79.85 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NRG drops below its 200-week moving average?
NRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 36 weeks on average.
Is NRG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NRG as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 42. Free cash flow yield is 3.5%. Return on equity is 41.5%. Price-to-book is 26.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NRG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.4 years, $100 invested in NRG would have grown to $1236, compared to $820 for the S&P 500. That's 12.5% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. NRG has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NRG pay a dividend?
Yes. NRG Energy, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 130.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20