NRG
NRG Energy, Inc. Utilities - Utilities - Independent Power Producers Investor Relations →
NRG Energy, Inc. (NRG) closed at $153.32 as of 2026-02-02, trading 101.7% above its 200-week moving average of $76.03. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 101.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1109 weeks of data, NRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NRG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.8%.
With a market cap of $33.1 billion, NRG is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 64.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 22.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 18.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 21.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NRG would have grown to $1300, compared to $870 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.8% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming NRG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: NRG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NRG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying NRG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.7% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +16.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.4% vs +27.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NRG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NRG has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +13.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2012 | 205 | 48.7% | +1.8% | +677.6% |
| Oct 2012 | Dec 2012 | 5 | 6.6% | +36.1% | +863.8% |
| Feb 2015 | Mar 2015 | 3 | 2.9% | -52.0% | +715.3% |
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 1 | 0.8% | -44.7% | +714.9% |
| Jun 2015 | Jul 2017 | 107 | 61.9% | -40.2% | +703.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 16.8% | +64.6% | +684.9% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 2 | 2.4% | +45.5% | +500.6% |
| Nov 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 0.6% | +22.8% | +483.0% |
| May 2021 | May 2021 | 1 | 2.4% | +49.5% | +444.5% |
| Dec 2022 | Jun 2023 | 29 | 12.7% | +54.4% | +415.2% |
| Average | 36 | — | +13.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02