NRDS
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NerdWallet, Inc. (NRDS) closed at $10.54 as of 2026-02-02, trading 12.0% below its 200-week moving average of $11.98. This places NRDS in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 0.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 174 weeks of data, NRDS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 13 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NRDS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.0%.
With a market cap of $801 million, NRDS is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.2%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 20.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Share count has increased 11.1% over three years, indicating dilution. NRDS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 3.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NRDS would have grown to $79, compared to $187 for the S&P 500. NRDS has returned -6.5% annualized vs 20.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: NRDS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NRDS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying NRDS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.7% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +19.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.3% vs +51.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NRDS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NRDS has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +9.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 16.9% | -19.7% | +2.5% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 8 | 26.7% | +29.5% | +5.6% |
| May 2023 | Nov 2023 | 30 | 39.6% | +53.1% | +16.9% |
| Jul 2024 | Sep 2024 | 6 | 10.1% | -6.6% | -6.6% |
| Sep 2024 | Oct 2024 | 5 | 9.6% | -11.5% | -15.3% |
| Feb 2025 | Nov 2025 | 37 | 34.0% | N/A | +2.0% |
| Feb 2026 | Ongoing | 1+ | 12.0% | Ongoing | N/A |
| Average | 13 | — | +9.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02