NRC
National Research Corporation Healthcare - Health Information Services Investor Relations →
National Research Corporation (NRC) closed at $15.94 as of 2026-02-02, trading 43.3% below its 200-week moving average of $28.12. This places NRC in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -27.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 615 weeks of data, NRC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NRC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.4%.
With a market cap of $361 million, NRC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. Return on equity stands at 51.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 25.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 11.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NRC would have grown to $132, compared to $448 for the S&P 500. NRC has returned 2.3% annualized vs 13.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -22.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: NRC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NRC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying NRC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.5% after 12 months (median -2.0%), compared to +11.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.4% vs +24.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NRC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NRC has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +12.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2014 | Nov 2014 | 27 | 20.2% | -6.1% | +31.5% |
| Nov 2014 | Oct 2015 | 49 | 20.5% | +11.4% | +45.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Jan 2016 | 2 | 6.8% | +45.7% | +43.8% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 3 | 4.2% | +32.3% | +39.9% |
| Mar 2016 | Mar 2016 | 1 | 1.4% | +35.9% | +35.9% |
| Apr 2016 | Jul 2016 | 12 | 9.5% | +46.0% | +35.0% |
| Dec 2020 | Jan 2021 | 1 | 0.3% | -2.1% | -58.0% |
| Jun 2021 | Jun 2021 | 2 | 4.9% | -16.3% | -59.7% |
| Sep 2021 | Nov 2021 | 6 | 9.2% | -11.6% | -60.5% |
| Nov 2021 | Sep 2023 | 95 | 31.6% | -10.9% | -58.1% |
| Oct 2023 | Ongoing | 122+ | 69.1% | Ongoing | -59.9% |
| Average | 29 | — | +12.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02