NPO
Enpro Inc. Industrials - Specialty Industrial Machinery Investor Relations →
Enpro Inc. (NPO) closed at $292.50 as of 2026-09-18, trading 62.1% above its 200-week moving average of $180.41. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 67.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1221 weeks of data, NPO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NPO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.6%.
With a market cap of $6.2 billion, NPO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.1%. Return on equity stands at 2.9%. The stock trades at 3.9x book value.
Over the past 23.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NPO would have grown to $4831, compared to $1270 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.9% vs 11.4% for the index — confirming NPO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NPO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NPO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying NPO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.7% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +14.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +40.3% vs +35.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NPO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NPO would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where NPO's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $266.69 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $313.47 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $380.16 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $482.90 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $661.73 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $2.32 | $2.50 | +7.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | $2.08 | $2.14 | +2.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | $1.91 | $1.99 | +4.0% |
| 2025-11-04 | $1.96 | $1.99 | +1.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NPO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NPO has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +10.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2007 | Mar 2008 | 16 | 18.1% | -34.8% | +998.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2010 | 80 | 55.4% | -35.8% | +908.8% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 1.6% | +44.5% | +1032.9% |
| Jun 2010 | Sep 2010 | 12 | 9.2% | +51.4% | +1039.4% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 2.7% | +28.7% | +1037.5% |
| Jul 2015 | Feb 2016 | 32 | 24.2% | -6.9% | +555.7% |
| May 2016 | Sep 2016 | 20 | 18.3% | +57.7% | +602.8% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 3 | 4.1% | +46.3% | +494.7% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 5.7% | +21.9% | +441.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 4 | 6.9% | +8.8% | +410.5% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 5 | 12.2% | -31.0% | +416.6% |
| Jul 2019 | Jul 2019 | 2 | 2.4% | -27.0% | +404.9% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 5.1% | -3.4% | +409.5% |
| Nov 2019 | Dec 2019 | 4 | 3.4% | +6.9% | +390.8% |
| Jan 2020 | Nov 2020 | 42 | 52.5% | +31.7% | +395.3% |
| Average | 15 | — | +10.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NPO below its 200-week moving average?
No. Enpro Inc. (NPO) is currently 62.1% above its 200-week moving average of $180.41. It would need to fall to $180.41 to cross below the line.
What is NPO's 200-week moving average price?
Enpro Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $180.41 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NPO drops below its 200-week moving average?
NPO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is NPO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NPO as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 40. Free cash flow yield is 2.1%. Return on equity is 2.9%. Price-to-book is 3.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NPO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 23.5 years, $100 invested in NPO would have grown to $4831, compared to $1270 for the S&P 500. That's 17.9% annualized vs 11.4% for the index. NPO has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NPO pay a dividend?
Yes. Enpro Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 44.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18