NPK
National Presto Industries, Inc. Industrials - Aerospace & Defense Investor Relations →
National Presto Industries, Inc. (NPK) closed at $130.58 as of 2026-02-02, trading 65.9% above its 200-week moving average of $78.72. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 62.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, NPK is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, NPK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 33 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NPK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.3%.
With a market cap of $934 million, NPK is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 10.7%. The stock trades at 2.5x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NPK would have grown to $1368, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. NPK has returned 8.2% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: NPK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NPK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 28 historical episodes, buying NPK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.7% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +16.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +16.7% vs +24.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NPK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NPK has crossed below its 200-week MA 33 times with an average 1-year return of +14.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | Feb 1988 | 16 | 7.9% | +11.5% | +3283.6% |
| Apr 1988 | Apr 1988 | 1 | 0.8% | +41.0% | +3125.5% |
| May 1988 | May 1988 | 2 | 2.4% | +44.2% | +3083.6% |
| Jun 1988 | Jun 1988 | 2 | 1.8% | +45.6% | +3125.5% |
| Jul 1988 | Aug 1988 | 6 | 3.1% | +46.5% | +3154.0% |
| Dec 1993 | Jun 1997 | 184 | 22.1% | -12.8% | +1443.4% |
| Jul 1997 | Jul 1997 | 2 | 1.9% | +6.6% | +1566.7% |
| Aug 1998 | Aug 1998 | 1 | 1.0% | +12.8% | +1565.3% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 0.9% | +8.8% | +1559.6% |
| Feb 1999 | Mar 1999 | 1 | 0.7% | -9.2% | +1537.2% |
| Mar 1999 | Apr 1999 | 2 | 2.2% | -0.5% | +1539.3% |
| Apr 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 0.9% | +5.4% | +1542.3% |
| Nov 1999 | Apr 2000 | 22 | 10.7% | -11.1% | +1516.2% |
| May 2000 | Apr 2002 | 98 | 15.2% | -3.0% | +1696.2% |
| Jun 2002 | Jun 2002 | 1 | 0.7% | +11.3% | +1572.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 4 | 4.7% | +20.3% | +1632.0% |
| Sep 2002 | Nov 2002 | 8 | 7.0% | +26.6% | +1593.6% |
| Dec 2002 | Apr 2003 | 15 | 7.0% | +26.0% | +1584.2% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2013 | 55 | 18.6% | +9.9% | +265.4% |
| Apr 2013 | Dec 2013 | 37 | 15.1% | +4.1% | +224.0% |
| Jan 2014 | Mar 2014 | 8 | 6.1% | -19.4% | +217.2% |
| Apr 2014 | Apr 2015 | 51 | 21.7% | -6.6% | +218.5% |
| Apr 2015 | May 2015 | 1 | 2.9% | +48.0% | +254.9% |
| Jul 2019 | May 2020 | 45 | 24.7% | +3.1% | +95.3% |
| Jun 2020 | Aug 2020 | 9 | 7.7% | +23.7% | +90.0% |
| Aug 2020 | Jan 2021 | 19 | 12.1% | +1.4% | +86.5% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 2.2% | -2.8% | +84.7% |
| Aug 2021 | Mar 2023 | 81 | 24.7% | -6.6% | +81.7% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 8 | 7.1% | +19.0% | +97.5% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 2 | 0.9% | +7.1% | +92.3% |
| Aug 2023 | Oct 2023 | 10 | 2.6% | +8.2% | +92.0% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 1.4% | +55.4% | +87.4% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2024 | 1 | 1.1% | +58.3% | +85.5% |
| Average | 21 | — | +14.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02