NOV

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NO
14.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 11.2% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $16.50
14-Week RSI 79

NOV Inc. (NOV) closed at $18.91 as of 2026-02-02, trading 14.6% above its 200-week moving average of $16.50. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 11.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 79, NOV is in overbought territory.

Over the past 1479 weeks of data, NOV has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 50 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -8.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $7.0 billion, NOV is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 2.4%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.

Over the past 28.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NOV would have grown to $140, compared to $1224 for the S&P 500. NOV has returned 1.2% annualized vs 9.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 119.6% compound annual rate, with 1 consecutive year of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: NOV vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After NOV Crosses Below the Line?

Across 15 historical episodes, buying NOV when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -7.1% after 12 months (median -7.0%), compared to +11.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +6.0% vs +26.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NOV crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

NOV has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +-8.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jan 1998Jan 199812.6%-51.6%+125.3%
Jun 1998Feb 20008666.5%-51.3%+107.4%
Jul 2001Mar 20023441.1%-9.2%+159.9%
Jun 2002Jan 20048228.6%+4.6%+155.5%
Sep 2008Oct 20095352.0%-0.9%-34.8%
Oct 2009Jan 2010109.2%+35.6%-34.4%
Jan 2010Oct 20103726.7%+60.2%-38.4%
Dec 2014Dec 201416.7%-43.6%-63.7%
Dec 2014May 201817652.6%-46.6%-65.9%
Oct 2018Apr 202218070.1%-41.4%-42.0%
Apr 2022May 2022510.3%-2.9%+7.1%
Jun 2022Aug 2022823.0%-4.6%+23.4%
Sep 2022Oct 2022412.7%+21.9%+16.0%
May 2023Jul 202399.9%+20.5%+29.5%
Sep 2024Jan 20267030.6%-14.9%+22.0%
Average50+-8.3%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02