NMFC
New Mountain Finance Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
New Mountain Finance Corporation (NMFC) closed at $6.89 as of 2026-07-31, trading 20.6% below its 200-week moving average of $8.67. This places NMFC in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -21.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.77 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 745 weeks of data, NMFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NMFC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.8%.
With a market cap of $651 million, NMFC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 14.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -4.8%. The stock trades at 0.6x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 14.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NMFC would have grown to $238, compared to $684 for the S&P 500. NMFC has returned 6.2% annualized vs 14.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 12 open-market purchases totaling $14,416,095. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while NMFC is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 121.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NMFC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NMFC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying NMFC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +69.7% after 12 months (median +37.0%), compared to +31.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +135.5% vs +66.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NMFC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NMFC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NMFC has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +24.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 7.1% | +44.0% | +91.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 35 | 54.9% | +39.1% | +35.8% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 5 | 8.7% | -8.7% | -18.2% |
| Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | 9 | 7.7% | N/A | -17.8% |
| Dec 2025 | Ongoing | 33+ | 21.2% | Ongoing | -17.6% |
| Average | 18 | — | +24.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NMFC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, New Mountain Finance Corporation (NMFC) is trading 20.6% below its 200-week moving average of $8.67. The current price is $6.89.
What is NMFC's 200-week moving average price?
New Mountain Finance Corporation's 200-week moving average is $8.67 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NMFC drops below its 200-week moving average?
NMFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +24.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is NMFC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NMFC as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 14.5%. Return on equity is -4.8%. Price-to-book is 0.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NMFC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.3 years, $100 invested in NMFC would have grown to $238, compared to $684 for the S&P 500. That's 6.2% annualized vs 14.4% for the index. NMFC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NMFC pay a dividend?
Yes. New Mountain Finance Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 1756.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31