NMFC
New Mountain Finance Corporation Financial Services - Asset Management Investor Relations →
New Mountain Finance Corporation (NMFC) closed at $7.16 as of 2026-06-19, trading 17.5% below its 200-week moving average of $8.68. This places NMFC in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -11.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 739 weeks of data, NMFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NMFC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +26.2%.
With a market cap of $676 million, NMFC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 13.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -4.8%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 14.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NMFC would have grown to $247, compared to $684 for the S&P 500. NMFC has returned 6.6% annualized vs 14.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 12 open-market purchases totaling $14,416,095. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while NMFC is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 121.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NMFC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NMFC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying NMFC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +69.7% after 12 months (median +37.0%), compared to +31.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +135.5% vs +66.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NMFC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices NMFC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where NMFC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $7.04 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $7.38 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $7.75 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $8.17 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $8.63 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NMFC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NMFC has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +26.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 6 | 6.9% | +44.0% | +98.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 35 | 54.8% | +43.4% | +45.4% |
| Mar 2025 | May 2025 | 5 | 8.5% | -8.7% | -15.0% |
| Sep 2025 | Dec 2025 | 11 | 7.5% | N/A | -16.8% |
| Dec 2025 | Ongoing | 27+ | 18.3% | Ongoing | -11.4% |
| Average | 17 | — | +26.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NMFC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, New Mountain Finance Corporation (NMFC) is trading 17.5% below its 200-week moving average of $8.68. The current price is $7.16.
What is NMFC's 200-week moving average price?
New Mountain Finance Corporation's 200-week moving average is $8.68 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NMFC drops below its 200-week moving average?
NMFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +26.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 17 weeks on average.
Is NMFC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NMFC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 13.9%. Return on equity is -4.8%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NMFC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.2 years, $100 invested in NMFC would have grown to $247, compared to $684 for the S&P 500. That's 6.6% annualized vs 14.4% for the index. NMFC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NMFC pay a dividend?
Yes. New Mountain Finance Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 1604.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19