NJR
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New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) closed at $56.00 as of 2026-05-01, trading 29.0% above its 200-week moving average of $43.40. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 28.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, NJR is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, NJR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 36 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NJR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.8%.
With a market cap of $5.6 billion, NJR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 13.7%. The stock trades at 2.3x book value.
Share count has increased 4.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NJR would have grown to $3557, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.3% vs 10.7% for the index — confirming NJR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NJR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NJR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying NJR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.7% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +5.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +27.3% vs +21.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NJR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NJR has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +13.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1981 | Sep 1982 | 75 | 22.8% | -15.1% | +17696.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 51 | 33.1% | +16.0% | +100.0% |
| Jul 2021 | Nov 2021 | 14 | 9.7% | +24.3% | +73.2% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 2 | 2.0% | +29.9% | +72.7% |
| Average | 36 | — | +13.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NJR below its 200-week moving average?
No. New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) is currently 29.0% above its 200-week moving average of $43.40. It would need to fall to $43.40 to cross below the line.
What is NJR's 200-week moving average price?
New Jersey Resources Corporation's 200-week moving average is $43.40 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NJR drops below its 200-week moving average?
NJR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 36 weeks on average.
Is NJR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NJR as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 76 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 13.7%. Price-to-book is 2.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NJR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in NJR would have grown to $3557, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 11.3% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. NJR has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NJR pay a dividend?
Yes. New Jersey Resources Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 339.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01