NICE
NICE Ltd. Technology - Enterprise Software Investor Relations →
NICE Ltd. (NICE) closed at $111.86 as of 2026-02-02, trading 38.6% below its 200-week moving average of $182.05. This places NICE in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -41.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 35, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1519 weeks of data, NICE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NICE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +40.6%.
With a market cap of $6.9 billion, NICE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 8.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 15.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
NICE passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 29.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NICE would have grown to $1231, compared to $1551 for the S&P 500. NICE has returned 9.0% annualized vs 9.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 22.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: NICE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NICE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying NICE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +35.4% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +18.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.3% vs +31.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NICE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NICE has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +40.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1997 | Mar 1997 | 2 | 1.2% | +131.9% | +1139.3% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 2 | 1.3% | -6.6% | +699.9% |
| Sep 1998 | Feb 1999 | 21 | 59.1% | +37.6% | +1164.2% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 1 | 1.6% | +149.0% | +742.8% |
| May 1999 | Jun 1999 | 8 | 12.4% | +163.8% | +846.6% |
| Aug 1999 | Oct 1999 | 10 | 12.3% | +165.5% | +756.2% |
| Dec 2000 | Jan 2004 | 158 | 77.4% | -17.5% | +1073.6% |
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2009 | 48 | 37.4% | +23.5% | +393.8% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 2.0% | +14.7% | +304.4% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 20 | 14.5% | +29.6% | +312.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 2 | 5.6% | +7.7% | +298.5% |
| Sep 2012 | Sep 2012 | 1 | 1.1% | +28.6% | +284.9% |
| Oct 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 1.3% | +36.0% | +281.5% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.6% | -0.1% | -41.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 1.0% | +16.1% | -41.9% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 15.0% | -11.8% | -44.1% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 5 | 3.0% | +16.8% | -45.2% |
| Apr 2023 | Jun 2023 | 7 | 15.9% | +7.3% | -46.5% |
| Jun 2023 | Feb 2024 | 34 | 30.5% | -21.2% | -46.5% |
| Apr 2024 | Ongoing | 95+ | 44.3% | Ongoing | -50.1% |
| Average | 22 | — | +40.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02