NICE
NICE Ltd. Technology - Enterprise Software Investor Relations →
NICE Ltd. (NICE) closed at $118.36 as of 2026-03-20, trading 34.1% below its 200-week moving average of $179.50. This places NICE in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -34.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1525 weeks of data, NICE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NICE at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +40.6%.
With a market cap of $7.2 billion, NICE is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 16.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 5.0% reduction over three years. NICE passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 29.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NICE would have grown to $1303, compared to $1461 for the S&P 500. NICE has returned 9.1% annualized vs 9.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NICE vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NICE Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying NICE when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +35.4% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +18.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.3% vs +31.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NICE crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NICE has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +40.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1997 | Mar 1997 | 2 | 1.2% | +131.9% | +1211.3% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 2 | 1.3% | -6.6% | +746.3% |
| Sep 1998 | Feb 1999 | 21 | 59.1% | +37.6% | +1237.7% |
| Apr 1999 | Apr 1999 | 1 | 1.6% | +149.0% | +791.8% |
| May 1999 | Jun 1999 | 8 | 12.4% | +163.8% | +901.6% |
| Aug 1999 | Oct 1999 | 10 | 12.3% | +165.5% | +806.0% |
| Dec 2000 | Jan 2004 | 158 | 77.4% | -17.5% | +1141.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Aug 2009 | 48 | 37.4% | +23.5% | +422.5% |
| Jan 2010 | Feb 2010 | 2 | 2.0% | +14.7% | +327.9% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 20 | 14.5% | +29.6% | +336.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 2 | 5.6% | +7.7% | +321.7% |
| Sep 2012 | Sep 2012 | 1 | 1.1% | +28.6% | +307.2% |
| Oct 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 1.3% | +36.0% | +303.7% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 1 | 0.6% | -0.1% | -38.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 1.0% | +16.1% | -38.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 15.0% | -11.8% | -40.8% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 5 | 3.0% | +16.8% | -42.0% |
| Apr 2023 | Jun 2023 | 7 | 15.9% | +7.3% | -43.4% |
| Jun 2023 | Feb 2024 | 34 | 30.5% | -21.2% | -43.4% |
| Apr 2024 | Ongoing | 101+ | 44.3% | Ongoing | -47.2% |
| Average | 22 | — | +40.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NICE below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, NICE Ltd. (NICE) is trading 34.1% below its 200-week moving average of $179.50. The current price is $118.36.
What is NICE's 200-week moving average price?
NICE Ltd.'s 200-week moving average is $179.50 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NICE drops below its 200-week moving average?
NICE has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +40.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is NICE a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NICE as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 6.3%. Return on equity is 16.4%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NICE compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 29.3 years, $100 invested in NICE would have grown to $1303, compared to $1461 for the S&P 500. That's 9.1% annualized vs 9.6% for the index. NICE has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20