NGVC
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Grocery Stores Investor Relations →
Natural Grocers by Vitamin Cottage, Inc. (NGVC) closed at $26.43 as of 2026-02-02, trading 17.9% above its 200-week moving average of $22.42. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 22.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 658 weeks of data, NGVC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NGVC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +2.2%.
With a market cap of $609 million, NGVC is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.0%. Return on equity stands at 24.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
Over the past 12.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NGVC would have grown to $100, compared to $508 for the S&P 500. NGVC has returned 0.0% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 42.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: NGVC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NGVC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying NGVC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -2.5% after 12 months (median -2.0%), compared to +10.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 45% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.8% vs +25.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NGVC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NGVC has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +2.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2014 | Jan 2015 | 38 | 43.0% | +14.5% | +59.7% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 2 | 4.3% | -19.4% | +39.9% |
| Apr 2015 | Jul 2018 | 172 | 75.2% | -24.9% | +41.0% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 2.1% | -41.8% | +144.6% |
| Jan 2019 | Feb 2019 | 2 | 6.6% | -32.7% | +172.7% |
| Mar 2019 | May 2020 | 61 | 40.5% | -41.9% | +188.9% |
| Aug 2020 | Oct 2020 | 5 | 11.1% | +28.8% | +234.4% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 1.6% | +33.1% | +238.2% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 1.0% | +65.7% | +201.6% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | 3.8% | +26.6% | +202.7% |
| Sep 2022 | Jun 2023 | 38 | 21.6% | +15.8% | +164.1% |
| Average | 29 | — | +2.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02