NFLX
Netflix Inc. Communication Services - Streaming Investor Relations →
Netflix Inc. (NFLX) closed at $82.20 as of 2026-02-02, trading 30.1% above its 200-week moving average of $63.20. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 32.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 11, NFLX is in oversold territory.
Over the past 1189 weeks of data, NFLX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NFLX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +41.9%.
With a market cap of $348.7 billion, NFLX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.1%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 42.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 13.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 22.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NFLX would have grown to $50853, compared to $1143 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 31.2% vs 11.2% for the index — confirming NFLX as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 80.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: NFLX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NFLX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying NFLX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +51.2% after 12 months (median +50.0%), compared to +3.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +173.7% vs +12.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NFLX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NFLX has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +41.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2004 | Sep 2004 | 5 | 13.2% | +47.5% | +38311.2% |
| Sep 2004 | Jun 2005 | 36 | 42.2% | +59.2% | +35135.7% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 1 | 3.9% | -4.9% | +30637.1% |
| Mar 2007 | Mar 2007 | 2 | 4.2% | +48.4% | +27221.9% |
| Apr 2007 | Oct 2007 | 25 | 26.9% | +74.5% | +25936.2% |
| Nov 2007 | Nov 2007 | 1 | 2.1% | -8.1% | +26355.2% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 0.0% | +39.8% | +26330.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Dec 2008 | 7 | 19.7% | +110.3% | +24595.3% |
| Oct 2011 | Jan 2012 | 12 | 34.5% | -17.3% | +6738.6% |
| Apr 2012 | Jan 2013 | 41 | 50.2% | +66.3% | +5423.7% |
| Jan 2022 | Jun 2023 | 72 | 57.9% | -13.8% | +106.8% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 1 | 2.0% | +66.6% | +103.2% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 7 | 14.7% | +75.6% | +107.1% |
| Average | 16 | — | +41.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02