NEWT
NewtekOne, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
NewtekOne, Inc. (NEWT) closed at $14.83 as of 2026-07-31, trading 26.0% above its 200-week moving average of $11.77. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 22.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.99 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1300 weeks of data, NEWT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times. On average, these episodes lasted 59 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NEWT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.5%.
With a market cap of $428 million, NEWT is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 18.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
Share count has increased 16.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 24.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NEWT would have grown to $287, compared to $1119 for the S&P 500. NEWT has returned 4.3% annualized vs 10.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NEWT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NEWT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 9 historical episodes, buying NEWT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.9% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +19.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 38% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +34.1% vs +41.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NEWT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NEWT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NEWT has crossed below its 200-week MA 9 times with an average 1-year return of +18.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2001 | Apr 2002 | 31 | 18.9% | N/A | +213.3% |
| Jul 2002 | Dec 2002 | 23 | 11.1% | +41.7% | +187.2% |
| Jun 2004 | Mar 2010 | 298 | 87.1% | -46.7% | +145.0% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 4.6% | +87.2% | +297.6% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 10 | 32.8% | +122.5% | +89.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 18 | 17.7% | -9.8% | +8.7% |
| Feb 2023 | Jul 2023 | 20 | 38.8% | -24.1% | +16.9% |
| Aug 2023 | Jan 2026 | 125 | 40.6% | -22.7% | +1.8% |
| Feb 2026 | Apr 2026 | 6 | 13.7% | N/A | +24.5% |
| Average | 59 | — | +18.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEWT below its 200-week moving average?
No. NewtekOne, Inc. (NEWT) is currently 26.0% above its 200-week moving average of $11.77. It would need to fall to $11.77 to cross below the line.
What is NEWT's 200-week moving average price?
NewtekOne, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $11.77 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NEWT drops below its 200-week moving average?
NEWT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 9 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 59 weeks on average.
Is NEWT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NEWT as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 63. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 18.3%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NEWT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24.9 years, $100 invested in NEWT would have grown to $287, compared to $1119 for the S&P 500. That's 4.3% annualized vs 10.2% for the index. NEWT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NEWT pay a dividend?
Yes. NewtekOne, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 512.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31