NEON
Neonode Inc. Technology - Electronic Components Investor Relations →
Neonode Inc. (NEON) closed at $1.12 as of 2026-06-19, trading 80.5% below its 200-week moving average of $5.76. This places NEON in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -79.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 37, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.56 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1905 weeks of data, NEON has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 47 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NEON at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +2.0%.
With a market cap of $19 million, NEON is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 64.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 42.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Share count has increased 16.1% over three years, indicating dilution. NEON passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NEON would have grown to $0, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. NEON has returned -24.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NEON vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NEON Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying NEON when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -9.8% after 12 months (median -23.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 38% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -2.7% vs +33.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NEON crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. NEON currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NEON's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NEON has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +2.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1989 | Jun 1990 | 26 | 37.6% | N/A | -100.0% |
| Jul 1990 | Dec 1990 | 22 | 32.2% | +46.7% | -100.0% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 2 | 9.4% | +135.3% | -100.0% |
| Sep 1991 | Nov 1991 | 10 | 11.4% | +128.6% | -100.0% |
| Jan 1994 | Feb 1994 | 5 | 6.3% | +1.5% | -100.0% |
| Apr 1994 | Nov 1994 | 31 | 34.7% | +67.6% | -100.0% |
| Dec 1994 | Jan 1995 | 8 | 12.8% | +51.4% | -100.0% |
| Feb 1995 | Feb 1995 | 1 | 0.6% | N/A | -100.0% |
| Feb 1996 | May 1996 | 13 | 40.2% | -32.4% | -100.0% |
| Jun 1996 | Aug 1997 | 61 | 63.4% | -25.0% | -100.0% |
| Jan 1998 | Nov 1998 | 44 | 67.1% | -22.1% | -100.0% |
| Nov 1998 | Jan 2000 | 58 | 50.0% | -14.6% | -100.0% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2003 | 156 | 92.8% | -88.5% | -100.0% |
| May 2004 | May 2004 | 1 | 3.6% | -19.4% | -100.0% |
| Jun 2004 | Jun 2004 | 1 | 3.2% | -14.8% | -100.0% |
| Apr 2005 | May 2005 | 3 | 11.4% | -57.4% | -100.0% |
| May 2005 | Jun 2005 | 5 | 17.9% | -55.9% | -100.0% |
| Aug 2005 | Sep 2005 | 3 | 12.9% | -82.8% | -100.0% |
| Oct 2005 | Jan 2012 | 325 | 99.6% | -84.7% | -100.0% |
| May 2014 | Jun 2020 | 318 | 90.3% | +8.1% | -97.0% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 4.5% | -17.4% | -76.3% |
| Jan 2022 | Mar 2022 | 6 | 21.2% | +77.1% | -77.3% |
| Apr 2022 | May 2022 | 5 | 15.4% | +33.7% | -77.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Dec 2022 | 24 | 34.3% | +59.7% | -77.9% |
| Jul 2023 | Aug 2024 | 59 | 81.5% | -43.9% | -73.1% |
| Sep 2025 | Ongoing | 42+ | 80.5% | Ongoing | -78.1% |
| Average | 47 | — | +2.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NEON below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Neonode Inc. (NEON) is trading 80.5% below its 200-week moving average of $5.76. The current price is $1.12.
What is NEON's 200-week moving average price?
Neonode Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $5.76 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NEON drops below its 200-week moving average?
NEON has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +2.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 47 weeks on average.
Is NEON a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NEON as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 37. Free cash flow yield is 64.6%. Return on equity is 42.6%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NEON compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in NEON would have grown to $0, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's -24.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. NEON has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19