NDAQ

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NO
28.9% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 47.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $65.79
14-Week RSI 50

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) closed at $84.83 as of 2026-02-02, trading 28.9% above its 200-week moving average of $65.79. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 47.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1183 weeks of data, NDAQ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NDAQ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.9%.

With a market cap of $48.7 billion, NDAQ is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 15.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.0x book value.

Share count has increased 15.0% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 22.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NDAQ would have grown to $3839, compared to $1076 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 17.4% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming NDAQ as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: NDAQ vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After NDAQ Crosses Below the Line?

Across 13 historical episodes, buying NDAQ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.5% after 12 months (median +9.0%), compared to +12.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 54% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +103.8% vs +31.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NDAQ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

NDAQ has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +7.9% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 2003Jul 2003427.3%+13.0%+4849.1%
Jul 2003Oct 20031219.7%-25.4%+3648.4%
Dec 2003Dec 200310.4%-20.3%+3583.1%
Mar 2004Dec 20043933.6%+32.9%+3604.6%
Jun 2008Aug 2008617.4%-25.2%+1020.0%
Oct 2008Feb 201112246.6%-21.1%+1124.4%
Mar 2011Mar 201127.3%+7.3%+1177.7%
May 2011Oct 20112317.9%-11.0%+1091.2%
Dec 2011Dec 201110.6%+1.3%+1218.1%
May 2012Jul 2012107.1%+44.3%+1340.4%
Jun 2023Jul 202331.8%+23.3%+76.9%
Jul 2023Aug 202311.6%+37.4%+77.6%
Sep 2023Nov 202386.9%+46.1%+73.0%
Average18+7.9%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02