NCNO
nCino, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
nCino, Inc. (NCNO) closed at $15.20 as of 2026-03-20, trading 48.2% below its 200-week moving average of $29.37. This places NCNO in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -48.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 19, NCNO is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 248 weeks of data, NCNO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 60 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -49.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $1760 million, NCNO is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -1.4%. The stock trades at 1.7x book value.
Share count has increased 3.6% over three years, indicating dilution. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 4.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NCNO would have grown to $25, compared to $162 for the S&P 500. NCNO has returned -25.2% annualized vs 10.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NCNO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NCNO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying NCNO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -46.8% after 12 months (median -45.0%), compared to -4.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -50.3% vs +1.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NCNO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NCNO has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-49.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2021 | Aug 2021 | 10 | 15.9% | -40.2% | -75.6% |
| Oct 2021 | Oct 2021 | 3 | 2.6% | -51.2% | -78.4% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2024 | 158 | 59.1% | -57.9% | -78.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 68+ | 48.8% | Ongoing | -59.4% |
| Average | 60 | — | +-49.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NCNO below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, nCino, Inc. (NCNO) is trading 48.2% below its 200-week moving average of $29.37. The current price is $15.20.
What is NCNO's 200-week moving average price?
nCino, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $29.37 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NCNO drops below its 200-week moving average?
NCNO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -49.8%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 60 weeks on average.
Is NCNO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NCNO as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 19 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 6.6%. Return on equity is -1.4%. Price-to-book is 1.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NCNO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.8 years, $100 invested in NCNO would have grown to $25, compared to $162 for the S&P 500. That's -25.2% annualized vs 10.5% for the index. NCNO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20