NCNO
nCino, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations →
nCino, Inc. (NCNO) closed at $18.15 as of 2026-02-02, trading 39.4% below its 200-week moving average of $29.94. This places NCNO in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -29.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 25, NCNO is in oversold territory.
Over the past 242 weeks of data, NCNO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 58 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -49.8%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $2.1 billion, NCNO is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.5%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at -1.4%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Share count has increased 3.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NCNO would have grown to $29, compared to $172 for the S&P 500. NCNO has returned -22.7% annualized vs 12.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: NCNO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NCNO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying NCNO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -46.8% after 12 months (median -45.0%), compared to -4.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -50.3% vs +1.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NCNO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NCNO has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-49.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2021 | Aug 2021 | 10 | 15.9% | -40.2% | -70.8% |
| Oct 2021 | Oct 2021 | 3 | 2.6% | -51.2% | -74.2% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2024 | 158 | 59.1% | -57.9% | -73.9% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 62+ | 42.3% | Ongoing | -51.5% |
| Average | 58 | — | +-49.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02