NCLH
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Consumer Discretionary - Cruise Lines Investor Relations →
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NCLH) closed at $23.32 as of 2026-02-02, trading 26.0% above its 200-week moving average of $18.51. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 18.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 53, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 633 weeks of data, NCLH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NCLH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.5%.
With a market cap of $10.6 billion, NCLH is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 39.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.
Share count has increased 5.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 12.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NCLH would have grown to $67, compared to $462 for the S&P 500. NCLH has returned -3.2% annualized vs 13.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 7 open-market purchases totaling $1,763,036. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: NCLH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NCLH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying NCLH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.2% after 12 months (median +32.0%), compared to +14.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -7.1% vs +31.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NCLH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NCLH has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +22.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2014 | May 2014 | 5 | 5.8% | +82.6% | -21.9% |
| Jun 2014 | Jun 2014 | 1 | 1.1% | +80.0% | -25.9% |
| Aug 2014 | Aug 2014 | 1 | 0.3% | +92.3% | -26.6% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 0.5% | +87.4% | -27.2% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 2 | 3.7% | +21.0% | -40.9% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 5 | 2.9% | +35.7% | -42.2% |
| Aug 2016 | Dec 2016 | 17 | 16.8% | +47.7% | -39.3% |
| Jun 2018 | Aug 2018 | 6 | 6.2% | +13.5% | -50.6% |
| Oct 2018 | Jan 2019 | 16 | 20.3% | -3.0% | -54.0% |
| Jul 2019 | Aug 2019 | 7 | 6.4% | -67.1% | -53.2% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 3 | 3.7% | -64.3% | -51.9% |
| Feb 2020 | Dec 2023 | 199 | 83.0% | -42.8% | -50.4% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 8 | 15.8% | +42.8% | +31.0% |
| Apr 2024 | Jul 2024 | 14 | 18.7% | -16.9% | +23.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Sep 2024 | 8 | 19.0% | +29.0% | +26.3% |
| Mar 2025 | Mar 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | N/A | +21.5% |
| Mar 2025 | Jun 2025 | 11 | 17.4% | N/A | +48.6% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 2 | 1.1% | N/A | +27.5% |
| Average | 17 | — | +22.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02