NATH
Nathan's Famous, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NATH) closed at $100.48 as of 2026-03-20, trading 34.1% above its 200-week moving average of $74.90. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 34.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 66, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.93 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 1677 weeks of data, NATH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NATH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.2%.
With a market cap of $411 million, NATH is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.7%. The stock trades at -26.9x book value.
Over the past 32.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NATH would have grown to $2453, compared to $2385 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.4% vs 10.3% for the index — confirming NATH as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NATH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NATH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying NATH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.0% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +12.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 48% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.4% vs +22.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NATH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
NATH has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +4.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1994 | Dec 1997 | 200 | 53.6% | -41.5% | +2352.8% |
| Dec 1997 | Feb 1998 | 8 | 17.1% | -6.5% | +5043.0% |
| Mar 1998 | Apr 1998 | 5 | 11.3% | -6.2% | +4805.6% |
| May 1998 | May 1998 | 1 | 0.8% | -1.6% | +4882.3% |
| May 1998 | Jun 1998 | 5 | 4.7% | -3.2% | +5043.0% |
| Jul 1998 | Aug 1998 | 2 | 2.1% | -8.9% | +5043.0% |
| Aug 1998 | Oct 1998 | 10 | 10.1% | -11.3% | +5043.0% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 3 | 5.3% | -11.2% | +5397.7% |
| Feb 1999 | Apr 1999 | 9 | 7.5% | +23.3% | +5214.4% |
| May 1999 | Jan 2000 | 38 | 16.7% | -16.9% | +5304.5% |
| Mar 2000 | Sep 2000 | 23 | 20.5% | -10.2% | +5304.5% |
| Sep 2000 | Feb 2001 | 19 | 30.2% | -14.1% | +5350.7% |
| Feb 2001 | Apr 2002 | 59 | 20.5% | -0.4% | +5494.1% |
| Aug 2002 | Aug 2002 | 2 | 7.1% | +14.6% | +5594.0% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 5 | 12.3% | +35.0% | +5813.7% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 1 | 2.4% | +57.2% | +5744.3% |
| Apr 2003 | Jun 2003 | 6 | 2.1% | +72.9% | +5710.2% |
| Dec 2008 | Dec 2008 | 1 | 3.6% | +14.2% | +1469.2% |
| Dec 2008 | Apr 2009 | 17 | 13.2% | +20.4% | +1502.0% |
| May 2009 | Sep 2009 | 19 | 12.2% | +17.4% | +1429.5% |
| Nov 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.0% | +14.0% | +1304.4% |
| Feb 2020 | Mar 2021 | 56 | 28.1% | -2.6% | +86.2% |
| Mar 2021 | May 2021 | 9 | 4.2% | -15.2% | +78.6% |
| Jul 2021 | Aug 2021 | 4 | 3.5% | -14.9% | +74.5% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2022 | 50 | 24.5% | +0.7% | +76.3% |
| Average | 22 | — | +4.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NATH below its 200-week moving average?
No. Nathan's Famous, Inc. (NATH) is currently 34.1% above its 200-week moving average of $74.90. It would need to fall to $74.90 to cross below the line.
What is NATH's 200-week moving average price?
Nathan's Famous, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $74.90 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NATH drops below its 200-week moving average?
NATH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.
Is NATH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NATH as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 66. Free cash flow yield is 4.7%. Price-to-book is -26.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NATH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.2 years, $100 invested in NATH would have grown to $2453, compared to $2385 for the S&P 500. That's 10.4% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. NATH has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NATH pay a dividend?
Yes. Nathan's Famous, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 199.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20