NAT
Nordic American Tankers Limited Industrials - Crude Tankers Investor Relations →
Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) closed at $5.85 as of 2026-06-19, trading 90.5% above its 200-week moving average of $3.07. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 74.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.01 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1450 weeks of data, NAT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought NAT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.2%.
With a market cap of $1239 million, NAT is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.4%. The stock trades at 2.7x book value.
Over the past 27.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in NAT would have grown to $786, compared to $1192 for the S&P 500. NAT has returned 7.7% annualized vs 9.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: NAT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After NAT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying NAT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +16.2% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +14.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 63% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +36.2% vs +22.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment NAT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. NAT currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from NAT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
NAT has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +20.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1998 | Aug 1999 | 49 | 23.1% | +9.5% | +717.6% |
| Sep 1999 | Feb 2000 | 25 | 14.5% | +97.4% | +647.0% |
| Jul 2002 | Nov 2002 | 15 | 10.5% | +62.3% | +447.0% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 1.9% | +25.6% | -9.5% |
| Feb 2008 | Mar 2008 | 5 | 9.7% | +1.6% | -10.4% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 15.6% | +35.0% | -3.7% |
| Nov 2008 | Nov 2008 | 1 | 11.8% | +40.3% | -8.2% |
| Feb 2009 | Mar 2009 | 4 | 10.4% | +23.9% | -11.8% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 0.3% | -9.2% | -26.4% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 1.6% | -11.9% | -25.7% |
| Sep 2010 | Dec 2014 | 224 | 59.0% | -35.1% | -26.5% |
| Oct 2016 | Apr 2020 | 184 | 77.0% | -34.3% | +33.8% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 4 | 10.6% | -22.4% | +185.1% |
| Dec 2020 | Feb 2021 | 5 | 4.8% | -41.2% | +202.5% |
| Jul 2021 | Apr 2022 | 38 | 45.7% | -18.0% | +226.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Sep 2022 | 19 | 29.2% | +47.7% | +237.9% |
| Nov 2024 | Jan 2025 | 6 | 11.6% | +45.0% | +150.7% |
| Jan 2025 | May 2025 | 16 | 16.9% | +62.9% | +152.4% |
| May 2025 | Jun 2025 | 1 | 0.9% | +105.6% | +143.6% |
| Average | 32 | — | +20.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NAT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Nordic American Tankers Limited (NAT) is currently 90.5% above its 200-week moving average of $3.07. It would need to fall to $3.07 to cross below the line.
What is NAT's 200-week moving average price?
Nordic American Tankers Limited's 200-week moving average is $3.07 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when NAT drops below its 200-week moving average?
NAT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 32 weeks on average.
Is NAT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about NAT as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 63. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 11.4%. Price-to-book is 2.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does NAT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 27.8 years, $100 invested in NAT would have grown to $786, compared to $1192 for the S&P 500. That's 7.7% annualized vs 9.3% for the index. NAT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does NAT pay a dividend?
Yes. Nordic American Tankers Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 1594.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19