MYRG
MYR Group Inc. Industrials - Engineering & Construction Investor Relations →
MYR Group Inc. (MYRG) closed at $461.10 as of 2026-06-19, trading 180.9% above its 200-week moving average of $164.15. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 174.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 85, MYRG is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.11 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 883 weeks of data, MYRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 8 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MYRG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +43.1%.
With a market cap of $7.2 billion, MYRG is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.2%. Return on equity stands at 22.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.3% over the past three years. MYRG passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 17 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MYRG would have grown to $2559, compared to $1023 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 21.0% vs 14.7% for the index — confirming MYRG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36.9% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MYRG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MYRG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying MYRG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +41.3% after 12 months (median +34.0%), compared to +17.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 94% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +78.7% vs +38.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MYRG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MYRG would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where MYRG's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $284.93 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $319.53 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $363.71 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $422.05 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $502.70 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MYRG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MYRG has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +43.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 3 | 6.8% | +51.7% | +3049.6% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 1 | 0.6% | +33.5% | +2818.4% |
| Jul 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 2.7% | +60.4% | +2869.1% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 8 | 17.0% | +34.6% | +2846.3% |
| Oct 2010 | Nov 2010 | 7 | 8.5% | +27.1% | +2852.0% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 1 | 5.6% | +22.0% | +2699.6% |
| Nov 2011 | Dec 2011 | 3 | 11.1% | +33.4% | +2863.4% |
| Mar 2012 | Aug 2012 | 20 | 16.9% | +41.5% | +2537.9% |
| Oct 2015 | Feb 2016 | 20 | 20.1% | +28.2% | +1901.3% |
| May 2016 | Jul 2016 | 9 | 3.8% | +46.6% | +1820.4% |
| Jul 2017 | Sep 2017 | 8 | 15.8% | +33.5% | +1653.9% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 7 | 12.0% | +11.8% | +1432.4% |
| Jan 2019 | Feb 2019 | 2 | 0.8% | -5.0% | +1425.3% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 5 | 12.2% | +33.8% | +1519.6% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 2 | 3.4% | +13.9% | +1362.4% |
| Dec 2019 | Jul 2020 | 31 | 40.0% | +88.2% | +1337.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Oct 2024 | 10 | 18.1% | +88.4% | +363.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 7 | 10.9% | +131.6% | +309.2% |
| Average | 8 | — | +43.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MYRG below its 200-week moving average?
No. MYR Group Inc. (MYRG) is currently 180.9% above its 200-week moving average of $164.15. It would need to fall to $164.15 to cross below the line.
What is MYRG's 200-week moving average price?
MYR Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $164.15 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MYRG drops below its 200-week moving average?
MYRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +43.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 8 weeks on average.
Is MYRG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MYRG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 85 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 3.2%. Return on equity is 22.7%. Price-to-book is 10.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MYRG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17 years, $100 invested in MYRG would have grown to $2559, compared to $1023 for the S&P 500. That's 21.0% annualized vs 14.7% for the index. MYRG has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19