MXL
MaxLinear, Inc. Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) closed at $81.12 as of 2026-09-18, trading 199.7% above its 200-week moving average of $27.06. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 177.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 48, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.78 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 812 weeks of data, MXL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MXL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +9.6%.
With a market cap of $7.4 billion, MXL is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.2%. Return on equity stands at -21.3%. The stock trades at 15.2x book value.
Share count has increased 9.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 15.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MXL would have grown to $850, compared to $754 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.6% vs 13.8% for the index — confirming MXL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MXL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MXL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying MXL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.1% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +16.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 47% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.1% vs +34.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MXL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MXL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MXL has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +9.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2011 | Jul 2013 | 126 | 56.3% | -40.4% | +750.3% |
| Aug 2013 | Aug 2013 | 1 | 1.8% | +24.1% | +934.7% |
| Sep 2013 | Oct 2013 | 1 | 4.3% | -8.8% | +960.4% |
| Sep 2014 | Nov 2014 | 8 | 12.8% | +45.7% | +1047.4% |
| Jun 2018 | Aug 2018 | 8 | 13.9% | +25.5% | +359.1% |
| Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | 2 | 1.2% | +13.1% | +340.6% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 18 | 18.9% | +21.6% | +353.2% |
| Jul 2019 | Sep 2019 | 6 | 9.4% | +20.9% | +287.0% |
| Oct 2019 | Jul 2020 | 37 | 58.5% | +47.8% | +333.1% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 3 | 0.8% | +138.1% | +269.7% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 1.0% | -0.2% | +156.5% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 7 | 9.8% | -34.5% | +146.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 3 | 0.5% | -29.6% | +139.0% |
| Feb 2023 | Mar 2023 | 4 | 4.4% | -46.1% | +135.9% |
| Apr 2023 | Apr 2026 | 158 | 71.2% | -32.9% | +140.8% |
| Average | 26 | — | +9.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MXL below its 200-week moving average?
No. MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) is currently 199.7% above its 200-week moving average of $27.06. It would need to fall to $27.06 to cross below the line.
What is MXL's 200-week moving average price?
MaxLinear, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $27.06 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MXL drops below its 200-week moving average?
MXL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +9.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is MXL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MXL as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 48. Free cash flow yield is 0.2%. Return on equity is -21.3%. Price-to-book is 15.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MXL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.7 years, $100 invested in MXL would have grown to $850, compared to $754 for the S&P 500. That's 14.6% annualized vs 13.8% for the index. MXL has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18