MXL

MaxLinear, Inc. Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →

YES
19.5% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -25.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $23.24
14-Week RSI 63

MaxLinear, Inc. (MXL) closed at $18.72 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.5% below its 200-week moving average of $23.24. This places MXL in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -25.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 780 weeks of data, MXL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 15 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MXL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.7%.

With a market cap of $1636 million, MXL is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.0%. Return on equity stands at -28.2%. The stock trades at 3.6x book value.

Share count has increased 9.8% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 15.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MXL would have grown to $196, compared to $678 for the S&P 500. MXL has returned 4.6% annualized vs 13.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: MXL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MXL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 15 historical episodes, buying MXL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +10.1% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +16.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 47% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +31.1% vs +35.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MXL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

MXL has crossed below its 200-week MA 15 times with an average 1-year return of +12.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 2011Jul 201312656.3%-40.4%+96.2%
Aug 2013Aug 201311.8%+24.1%+138.8%
Sep 2013Oct 201314.3%-8.8%+144.7%
Sep 2014Nov 2014812.8%+45.7%+164.8%
Jun 2018Aug 2018813.9%+25.5%+5.9%
Sep 2018Sep 201821.2%+13.1%+1.7%
Oct 2018Feb 20191818.9%+21.6%+4.6%
Jul 2019Sep 201969.4%+20.9%-10.7%
Oct 2019Jul 20203758.5%+47.8%-0.1%
Sep 2020Sep 202030.8%+138.1%-14.7%
Jun 2022Jul 202211.0%-0.2%-40.8%
Sep 2022Nov 202279.8%-34.5%-43.2%
Dec 2022Jan 202330.5%-29.6%-44.8%
Feb 2023Mar 202344.4%-46.1%-45.6%
Apr 2023Ongoing149+71.2%Ongoing-44.4%
Average25+12.7%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02