MWA
Mueller Water Products, Inc. Industrials - Specialty Industrial Machinery Investor Relations →
Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) closed at $27.22 as of 2026-03-20, trading 50.1% above its 200-week moving average of $18.13. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 53.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.99 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 986 weeks of data, MWA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MWA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.4%.
With a market cap of $4.3 billion, MWA is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.5%. Return on equity stands at 21.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.2x book value.
MWA passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 19 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MWA would have grown to $227, compared to $621 for the S&P 500. MWA has returned 4.4% annualized vs 10.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 5 open-market purchases totaling $849,395.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MWA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MWA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 12 historical episodes, buying MWA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.2% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +18.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 92% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.8% vs +32.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MWA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MWA has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +18.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2007 | Jul 2012 | 262 | 82.8% | -36.6% | +150.5% |
| Apr 2018 | May 2018 | 5 | 5.8% | +3.7% | +201.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2018 | 4 | 2.3% | +8.4% | +192.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Feb 2019 | 12 | 15.4% | +6.6% | +194.6% |
| Feb 2019 | Apr 2019 | 6 | 6.5% | +5.9% | +189.5% |
| May 2019 | Sep 2019 | 18 | 13.7% | -1.3% | +230.9% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 23 | 33.7% | +20.1% | +173.5% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 2 | 3.2% | +55.4% | +186.5% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 2.6% | +61.0% | +185.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 3.0% | +43.9% | +159.7% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 12 | 12.3% | +30.9% | +160.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 5 | 6.6% | +22.5% | +149.8% |
| Average | 29 | — | +18.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MWA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Mueller Water Products, Inc. (MWA) is currently 50.1% above its 200-week moving average of $18.13. It would need to fall to $18.13 to cross below the line.
What is MWA's 200-week moving average price?
Mueller Water Products, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $18.13 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MWA drops below its 200-week moving average?
MWA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is MWA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MWA as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 61. Free cash flow yield is 3.5%. Return on equity is 21.6%. Price-to-book is 4.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MWA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19 years, $100 invested in MWA would have grown to $227, compared to $621 for the S&P 500. That's 4.4% annualized vs 10.1% for the index. MWA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MWA pay a dividend?
Yes. Mueller Water Products, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 101.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20