MVBF

MVB Financial Corp. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →

NO
30.2% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 33.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $21.23
14-Week RSI 65
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.4x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.04

MVB Financial Corp. (MVBF) closed at $27.63 as of 2026-06-19, trading 30.2% above its 200-week moving average of $21.23. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 33.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 676 weeks of data, MVBF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MVBF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.8%.

With a market cap of $355 million, MVBF is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 8.9%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.

Over the past 13 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MVBF would have grown to $192, compared to $552 for the S&P 500. MVBF has returned 5.2% annualized vs 14.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: MVBF vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MVBF Crosses Below the Line?

Across 10 historical episodes, buying MVBF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.2% after 12 months (median -12.0%), compared to +13.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 20% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.8% vs +33.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MVBF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. MVBF currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +2.82σ
Current FCF Yield -9.83%
Baseline Yield -11.09%
Historical σ 0.37pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from MVBF's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation +0.41σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.54σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.32σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -2.1pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 68th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+18.1pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

MVBF has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +25.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 2014Nov 201423.6%+6.0%+137.2%
Dec 2014Dec 201423.2%-0.2%+135.6%
Jan 2015Jun 20152012.8%-7.9%+137.4%
Jun 2015Aug 201550.9%-16.7%+131.8%
Sep 2015Oct 201538.3%-14.7%+131.2%
Nov 2015Aug 20178928.4%-12.2%+136.3%
Mar 2019Mar 201910.3%+18.7%+117.3%
Mar 2020Oct 20203029.2%+129.5%+102.5%
Oct 2020Nov 202013.1%+171.4%+100.6%
Oct 2022Aug 202514837.3%-15.8%+21.6%
Average30+25.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MVBF below its 200-week moving average?

No. MVB Financial Corp. (MVBF) is currently 30.2% above its 200-week moving average of $21.23. It would need to fall to $21.23 to cross below the line.

What is MVBF's 200-week moving average price?

MVB Financial Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $21.23 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when MVBF drops below its 200-week moving average?

MVBF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +25.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.

Is MVBF a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about MVBF as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 65. Return on equity is 8.9%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does MVBF compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 13 years, $100 invested in MVBF would have grown to $192, compared to $552 for the S&P 500. That's 5.2% annualized vs 14.0% for the index. MVBF has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19