MUR
Murphy Oil Corporation Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) closed at $40.73 as of 2026-05-01, trading 22.5% above its 200-week moving average of $33.25. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 17.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, MUR is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 0.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.00 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, MUR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 42 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MUR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.3%.
With a market cap of $5.8 billion, MUR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.0%. Return on equity stands at 2.6%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MUR would have grown to $1486, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. MUR has returned 8.4% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -42.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MUR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MUR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying MUR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.8% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 72% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.7% vs +30.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MUR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MUR has crossed below its 200-week MA 42 times with an average 1-year return of +10.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Jun 1983 | 121 | 50.9% | -46.6% | +1777.9% |
| Jul 1983 | Jul 1983 | 1 | 0.9% | +1.4% | +2272.6% |
| Dec 1983 | Jan 1984 | 7 | 9.3% | -3.8% | +2326.0% |
| Jul 1984 | Aug 1984 | 6 | 13.8% | -5.1% | +2240.9% |
| Oct 1984 | Oct 1984 | 1 | 2.1% | +13.2% | +2386.0% |
| Nov 1984 | Jan 1985 | 9 | 14.5% | +21.7% | +2409.3% |
| Jun 1985 | Jun 1985 | 2 | 1.2% | -8.4% | +2436.7% |
| Jan 1986 | Jan 1987 | 49 | 22.5% | +26.0% | +2556.3% |
| Oct 1987 | Jan 1988 | 14 | 22.9% | +18.1% | +2190.8% |
| Feb 1988 | Mar 1988 | 1 | 0.5% | +40.1% | +2191.0% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 2.5% | +9.9% | +1606.3% |
| Sep 1991 | Oct 1991 | 2 | 3.4% | +9.9% | +1541.1% |
| Nov 1991 | Jan 1992 | 10 | 7.0% | +4.5% | +1505.7% |
| Feb 1992 | Apr 1992 | 9 | 7.2% | +9.4% | +1492.0% |
| Jun 1992 | Aug 1992 | 7 | 4.3% | +17.1% | +1443.4% |
| Oct 1992 | Oct 1992 | 2 | 2.4% | +39.8% | +1447.1% |
| Nov 1992 | Jan 1993 | 12 | 6.8% | +27.0% | +1436.1% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 3 | 2.2% | +36.8% | +1213.6% |
| Aug 1998 | Nov 1998 | 14 | 12.2% | +23.9% | +870.1% |
| Nov 1998 | Mar 1999 | 17 | 18.7% | +47.4% | +917.8% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2009 | 34 | 32.7% | +4.3% | +55.9% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 5 | 11.2% | +3.2% | +51.7% |
| Aug 2009 | Aug 2009 | 1 | 0.3% | -0.3% | +45.0% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 1 | 1.2% | +3.0% | +45.6% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 2 | 4.1% | +7.7% | +44.0% |
| Nov 2009 | Apr 2010 | 20 | 13.2% | +19.4% | +44.9% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 19 | 17.2% | +32.6% | +56.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 23 | 26.8% | +2.1% | +45.9% |
| Mar 2012 | Jul 2012 | 19 | 19.2% | +15.4% | +38.7% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 6.1% | +33.9% | +43.9% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 2.2% | +41.0% | +46.0% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 0.4% | -41.9% | +20.6% |
| Nov 2014 | Jan 2018 | 163 | 65.3% | -39.1% | +27.4% |
| Jan 2018 | May 2018 | 17 | 21.5% | -1.9% | +84.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 9 | 16.8% | -5.2% | +91.3% |
| Apr 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | 1.2% | -58.7% | +98.8% |
| May 2019 | Dec 2019 | 30 | 30.5% | -49.7% | +102.0% |
| Jan 2020 | May 2021 | 70 | 78.2% | -39.3% | +99.4% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 3.3% | +44.3% | +137.6% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 5.6% | +90.5% | +143.9% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | 1.8% | +102.4% | +134.9% |
| Oct 2024 | Feb 2026 | 69 | 39.0% | -11.3% | +32.4% |
| Average | 19 | — | +10.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MUR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) is currently 22.5% above its 200-week moving average of $33.25. It would need to fall to $33.25 to cross below the line.
What is MUR's 200-week moving average price?
Murphy Oil Corporation's 200-week moving average is $33.25 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MUR drops below its 200-week moving average?
MUR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 42 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is MUR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MUR as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 70 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 5.0%. Return on equity is 2.6%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MUR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.3 years, $100 invested in MUR would have grown to $1486, compared to $2973 for the S&P 500. That's 8.4% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. MUR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MUR pay a dividend?
Yes. Murphy Oil Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 331.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01