MUR
Murphy Oil Corporation Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) closed at $32.11 as of 2026-02-02, trading 3.7% below its 200-week moving average of $33.33. This places MUR in the below line zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -9.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2346 weeks of data, MUR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 42 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MUR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.9%.
With a market cap of $4.6 billion, MUR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 2.6%. The stock trades at 0.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.6% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MUR would have grown to $1159, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. MUR has returned 7.7% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 3.8% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: MUR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MUR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 31 historical episodes, buying MUR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.8% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +11.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 72% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.7% vs +30.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MUR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MUR has crossed below its 200-week MA 42 times with an average 1-year return of +10.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Jun 1983 | 121 | 50.9% | -46.6% | +1365.1% |
| Jul 1983 | Jul 1983 | 1 | 0.9% | +1.4% | +1751.0% |
| Dec 1983 | Jan 1984 | 7 | 9.3% | -3.8% | +1792.6% |
| Jul 1984 | Aug 1984 | 6 | 13.8% | -5.1% | +1726.3% |
| Oct 1984 | Oct 1984 | 1 | 2.1% | +13.2% | +1839.4% |
| Nov 1984 | Jan 1985 | 9 | 14.5% | +21.7% | +1857.7% |
| Jun 1985 | Jun 1985 | 2 | 1.2% | -8.4% | +1879.0% |
| Jan 1986 | Jan 1987 | 49 | 22.5% | +26.0% | +1972.3% |
| Oct 1987 | Jan 1988 | 14 | 22.9% | +18.1% | +1687.2% |
| Feb 1988 | Mar 1988 | 1 | 0.5% | +40.1% | +1687.3% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 2.5% | +9.9% | +1231.2% |
| Sep 1991 | Oct 1991 | 2 | 3.4% | +9.9% | +1180.3% |
| Nov 1991 | Jan 1992 | 10 | 7.0% | +4.5% | +1152.7% |
| Feb 1992 | Apr 1992 | 9 | 7.2% | +9.4% | +1142.0% |
| Jun 1992 | Aug 1992 | 7 | 4.3% | +17.1% | +1104.1% |
| Oct 1992 | Oct 1992 | 2 | 2.4% | +39.8% | +1107.0% |
| Nov 1992 | Jan 1993 | 12 | 6.8% | +27.0% | +1098.4% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 3 | 2.2% | +36.8% | +924.8% |
| Aug 1998 | Nov 1998 | 14 | 12.2% | +23.9% | +656.8% |
| Nov 1998 | Mar 1999 | 17 | 18.7% | +47.4% | +694.1% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2009 | 34 | 32.7% | +4.3% | +21.6% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 5 | 11.2% | +3.2% | +18.4% |
| Aug 2009 | Aug 2009 | 1 | 0.3% | -0.3% | +13.1% |
| Aug 2009 | Sep 2009 | 1 | 1.2% | +3.0% | +13.6% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 2 | 4.1% | +7.7% | +12.4% |
| Nov 2009 | Apr 2010 | 20 | 13.2% | +19.4% | +13.0% |
| May 2010 | Sep 2010 | 19 | 17.2% | +32.6% | +21.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 23 | 26.8% | +2.1% | +13.8% |
| Mar 2012 | Jul 2012 | 19 | 19.2% | +15.4% | +8.2% |
| Aug 2012 | Sep 2012 | 4 | 6.1% | +33.9% | +12.3% |
| Sep 2012 | Oct 2012 | 1 | 2.2% | +41.0% | +13.9% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 0.4% | -41.9% | -5.9% |
| Nov 2014 | Jan 2018 | 163 | 65.3% | -39.1% | -0.6% |
| Jan 2018 | May 2018 | 17 | 21.5% | -1.9% | +44.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 9 | 16.8% | -5.2% | +49.2% |
| Apr 2019 | May 2019 | 1 | 1.2% | -58.7% | +55.1% |
| May 2019 | Dec 2019 | 30 | 30.5% | -49.7% | +57.6% |
| Jan 2020 | May 2021 | 70 | 78.2% | -39.3% | +55.6% |
| Jul 2021 | Jul 2021 | 1 | 3.3% | +44.3% | +85.4% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 5.6% | +90.5% | +90.3% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | 1.8% | +102.4% | +83.3% |
| Oct 2024 | Ongoing | 69+ | 39.0% | Ongoing | +3.3% |
| Average | 19 | — | +10.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02