MUFG
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. (MUFG) closed at $22.45 as of 2026-07-31, trading 97.5% above its 200-week moving average of $11.37. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 102.9% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 76, MUFG is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.79 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1273 weeks of data, MUFG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 56 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -2.7%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $253.2 billion, MUFG is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 9.4%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.1% over the past three years.
Over the past 24.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MUFG would have grown to $412, compared to $1014 for the S&P 500. MUFG has returned 6.0% annualized vs 10.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MUFG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MUFG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying MUFG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.4% after 12 months (median -11.0%), compared to +3.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 30% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.1% vs +20.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MUFG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MUFG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MUFG has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +-2.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2002 | May 2002 | 10 | 20.9% | -40.5% | +280.1% |
| Jun 2002 | Sep 2003 | 68 | 55.3% | -41.2% | +249.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Dec 2012 | 283 | 61.4% | -13.0% | +129.6% |
| Oct 2014 | Oct 2014 | 1 | 1.5% | +21.1% | +362.1% |
| Jan 2015 | Feb 2015 | 4 | 2.3% | +11.5% | +364.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Nov 2016 | 47 | 30.0% | +9.5% | +316.8% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 6 | 8.7% | -21.7% | +311.9% |
| Aug 2018 | Sep 2018 | 6 | 3.2% | -18.9% | +308.4% |
| Oct 2018 | Mar 2021 | 125 | 40.7% | -17.0% | +300.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 11.8% | +83.5% | +385.8% |
| Average | 56 | — | +-2.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MUFG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. (MUFG) is currently 97.5% above its 200-week moving average of $11.37. It would need to fall to $11.37 to cross below the line.
What is MUFG's 200-week moving average price?
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $11.37 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MUFG drops below its 200-week moving average?
MUFG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -2.7%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 56 weeks on average.
Is MUFG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MUFG as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 76 (overbought). Return on equity is 9.4%. Price-to-book is 2.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MUFG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24.4 years, $100 invested in MUFG would have grown to $412, compared to $1014 for the S&P 500. That's 6.0% annualized vs 10.0% for the index. MUFG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MUFG pay a dividend?
Yes. Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 240.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31