MU
Micron Technology, Inc. Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →
Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) closed at $1133.99 as of 2026-06-19, trading 643.9% above its 200-week moving average of $152.44. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 567.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 82, MU is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2146 weeks of data, MU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +40.3%.
With a market cap of $1.3 trillion, MU is a mega-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.2%. Return on equity stands at 39.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.6x book value.
Share count has increased 2.6% over three years, indicating dilution. MU passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MU would have grown to $53233, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 20.6% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming MU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $7,821,723.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 30 historical episodes, buying MU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +59.5% after 12 months (median +26.0%), compared to +15.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +62.3% vs +31.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MU would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where MU's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-06-24.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $346.24 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $415.54 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $519.52 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $692.90 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $1039.99 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MU has crossed below its 200-week MA 35 times with an average 1-year return of +40.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1985 | Sep 1987 | 123 | 74.4% | +51.3% | +121505.2% |
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 9 | 43.9% | +62.1% | +91989.4% |
| Sep 1989 | May 1990 | 33 | 41.8% | -39.8% | +91989.4% |
| May 1990 | May 1990 | 1 | 1.3% | +9.2% | +86920.3% |
| Jun 1990 | Feb 1991 | 37 | 48.0% | +0.9% | +85352.3% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 1 | 5.0% | +0.4% | +84589.4% |
| Jun 1991 | Oct 1991 | 17 | 21.5% | +8.5% | +84589.4% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 7 | 16.8% | +63.4% | +92892.3% |
| Mar 1992 | Apr 1992 | 1 | 0.6% | +36.3% | +80649.1% |
| Apr 1992 | May 1992 | 5 | 6.5% | +65.6% | +86575.7% |
| Jun 1992 | Jul 1992 | 5 | 6.9% | +154.0% | +88195.8% |
| Jul 1996 | Sep 1996 | 10 | 23.2% | +111.1% | +10779.3% |
| Oct 1996 | Nov 1996 | 1 | 3.7% | +7.0% | +9155.5% |
| Oct 1997 | Oct 1998 | 54 | 41.3% | -4.5% | +6841.6% |
| Apr 1999 | Jun 1999 | 7 | 5.3% | +230.7% | +6039.8% |
| Sep 2001 | Feb 2002 | 25 | 45.5% | -45.8% | +3450.3% |
| Mar 2002 | Jan 2006 | 199 | 79.8% | -76.5% | +3382.3% |
| Jan 2007 | Jul 2007 | 24 | 16.9% | -51.5% | +8662.1% |
| Jul 2007 | Dec 2009 | 126 | 83.4% | -58.1% | +9695.5% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 7.7% | +7.8% | +12635.2% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 1 | 2.3% | +26.8% | +13467.4% |
| Jun 2010 | Oct 2010 | 17 | 19.6% | -4.7% | +14045.1% |
| Nov 2010 | Nov 2010 | 3 | 4.9% | -29.7% | +14961.2% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 2.8% | -20.4% | +16026.5% |
| Aug 2011 | Jan 2012 | 22 | 30.7% | +0.3% | +18326.7% |
| Apr 2012 | Jan 2013 | 39 | 26.1% | +43.8% | +16605.8% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 8 | 16.9% | -11.9% | +6759.7% |
| Oct 2015 | Dec 2016 | 59 | 49.0% | -1.7% | +6644.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 3.8% | +150.7% | +3120.0% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 8.9% | +22.4% | +1977.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 22 | 18.0% | +11.5% | +1905.9% |
| Feb 2023 | May 2023 | 14 | 11.0% | +44.0% | +1824.0% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 2 | 4.6% | +109.6% | +1720.1% |
| Aug 2023 | Aug 2023 | 2 | 0.8% | +70.6% | +1702.9% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 18.4% | +467.7% | +1658.6% |
| Average | 25 | — | +40.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MU below its 200-week moving average?
No. Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) is currently 643.9% above its 200-week moving average of $152.44. It would need to fall to $152.44 to cross below the line.
What is MU's 200-week moving average price?
Micron Technology, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $152.44 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MU drops below its 200-week moving average?
MU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 35 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +40.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is MU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MU as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 82 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 0.2%. Return on equity is 39.8%. Price-to-book is 17.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in MU would have grown to $53233, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 20.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. MU has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19