MTX
Minerals Technologies Inc. Basic Materials - Specialty Chemicals Investor Relations →
Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) closed at $76.24 as of 2026-07-31, trading 16.2% above its 200-week moving average of $65.61. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 13.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.5x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1714 weeks of data, MTX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MTX at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.1%.
Return on equity stands at 9.8%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
Over the past 32.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MTX would have grown to $591, compared to $2910 for the S&P 500. MTX has returned 5.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 54.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MTX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MTX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 34 historical episodes, buying MTX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.5% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +10.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.6% vs +22.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MTX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MTX would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where MTX's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $71.69 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $73.88 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $76.21 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $78.70 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $81.35 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MTX's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MTX has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +12.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1993 | Dec 1993 | 2 | 4.4% | +8.9% | +581.9% |
| Mar 1994 | Apr 1994 | 4 | 5.5% | +24.5% | +555.0% |
| May 1994 | May 1994 | 1 | 1.2% | +26.9% | +554.4% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 4 | 1.9% | +40.1% | +535.0% |
| Mar 1997 | Apr 1997 | 1 | 1.5% | +59.1% | +425.5% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 4 | 4.0% | +37.1% | +354.9% |
| Dec 1998 | Dec 1998 | 2 | 2.8% | -2.2% | +335.9% |
| Jan 1999 | Feb 1999 | 2 | 1.6% | +10.8% | +328.3% |
| Nov 1999 | Jan 2000 | 11 | 12.1% | -20.3% | +320.6% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 7 | 9.9% | -15.7% | +301.7% |
| Jun 2000 | Jun 2000 | 2 | 4.9% | +0.2% | +303.6% |
| Jul 2000 | Jul 2000 | 2 | 0.7% | -0.9% | +282.9% |
| Sep 2000 | Nov 2001 | 60 | 32.9% | -23.0% | +281.1% |
| Jul 2002 | Oct 2002 | 15 | 24.2% | +54.9% | +402.6% |
| Nov 2002 | Apr 2003 | 23 | 17.5% | +20.8% | +286.1% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 0.8% | +6.0% | +216.3% |
| Jun 2006 | Oct 2006 | 16 | 11.4% | +29.2% | +216.8% |
| Oct 2006 | Nov 2006 | 1 | 0.5% | +24.3% | +200.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 2 | 7.9% | -27.5% | +196.1% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 2.1% | -54.1% | +179.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2010 | 79 | 54.2% | -15.4% | +200.3% |
| May 2010 | Aug 2010 | 17 | 14.4% | +25.4% | +206.1% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 10 | 10.0% | +34.1% | +213.7% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 4.6% | +42.3% | +213.4% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 1.7% | +43.2% | +60.8% |
| Dec 2015 | Feb 2016 | 11 | 24.8% | +79.2% | +73.3% |
| Aug 2017 | Sep 2017 | 4 | 0.7% | +5.4% | +24.3% |
| Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | 1 | 0.4% | -25.0% | +18.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Nov 2020 | 112 | 52.8% | -21.7% | +21.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 4.3% | -1.4% | +34.5% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 13 | 18.2% | +8.7% | +37.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Dec 2022 | 2 | 3.2% | +12.5% | +32.7% |
| Mar 2023 | Nov 2023 | 36 | 20.6% | +24.8% | +33.4% |
| Mar 2025 | Jan 2026 | 42 | 20.6% | +1.0% | +18.1% |
| Average | 14 | — | +12.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTX below its 200-week moving average?
No. Minerals Technologies Inc. (MTX) is currently 16.2% above its 200-week moving average of $65.61. It would need to fall to $65.61 to cross below the line.
What is MTX's 200-week moving average price?
Minerals Technologies Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $65.61 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MTX drops below its 200-week moving average?
MTX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is MTX a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MTX as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 58. Return on equity is 9.8%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MTX compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.9 years, $100 invested in MTX would have grown to $591, compared to $2910 for the S&P 500. That's 5.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. MTX has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MTX pay a dividend?
Yes. Minerals Technologies Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 66.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31