MTW
The Manitowoc Company, Inc. Industrials - Cranes & Lifting Investor Relations →
The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) closed at $13.17 as of 2026-06-19, trading 6.7% above its 200-week moving average of $12.34. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 1.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.81 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1842 weeks of data, MTW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MTW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.2%.
With a market cap of $473 million, MTW is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 1.1%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MTW would have grown to $958, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. MTW has returned 7.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MTW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MTW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying MTW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.5% after 12 months (median -12.0%), compared to +7.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 48% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +20.6% vs +23.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MTW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MTW would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where MTW's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-05-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $4.56 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $6.04 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $8.94 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $17.23 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $235.33 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MTW's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MTW has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +6.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1991 | Nov 1991 | 19 | 11.6% | +20.9% | +1374.4% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 4 | 3.8% | +49.9% | +1336.3% |
| Nov 1994 | Jan 1995 | 7 | 8.5% | +30.8% | +950.9% |
| Jan 1995 | Feb 1995 | 3 | 2.9% | +27.2% | +939.7% |
| Jul 2000 | Dec 2000 | 20 | 25.3% | +11.8% | +157.6% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 5 | 9.3% | +64.2% | +165.3% |
| Jul 2001 | Jul 2001 | 1 | 0.0% | +24.8% | +137.4% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 7 | 17.0% | +23.1% | +137.2% |
| Sep 2002 | Nov 2003 | 62 | 41.3% | -17.3% | +117.5% |
| Aug 2008 | Feb 2011 | 132 | 90.3% | -71.3% | -36.5% |
| Feb 2011 | Mar 2011 | 2 | 4.7% | -20.5% | -23.1% |
| May 2011 | Jan 2012 | 37 | 58.1% | -31.8% | -17.6% |
| May 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 16.5% | +104.3% | +52.3% |
| Dec 2014 | Dec 2014 | 1 | 3.5% | -16.8% | -17.6% |
| Jul 2015 | Apr 2016 | 40 | 34.2% | +32.2% | -18.2% |
| Sep 2016 | Nov 2016 | 9 | 18.7% | +73.7% | -28.4% |
| Sep 2018 | Sep 2018 | 1 | 0.7% | -44.4% | -41.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Mar 2021 | 126 | 65.5% | -46.2% | -37.3% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 0.6% | -23.1% | -23.4% |
| Feb 2022 | Feb 2023 | 52 | 49.3% | +8.3% | -21.2% |
| Apr 2023 | Apr 2023 | 1 | 1.3% | -5.2% | -9.4% |
| Sep 2023 | Nov 2023 | 11 | 17.1% | -35.1% | -11.7% |
| Feb 2024 | Dec 2025 | 95 | 46.1% | -16.6% | -0.5% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | +7.9% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 4 | 8.7% | N/A | +8.0% |
| May 2026 | Jun 2026 | 4 | 6.1% | N/A | +8.0% |
| Average | 25 | — | +6.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTW below its 200-week moving average?
No. The Manitowoc Company, Inc. (MTW) is currently 6.7% above its 200-week moving average of $12.34. It would need to fall to $12.34 to cross below the line.
What is MTW's 200-week moving average price?
The Manitowoc Company, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $12.34 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MTW drops below its 200-week moving average?
MTW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +6.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is MTW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MTW as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 1.1%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MTW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in MTW would have grown to $958, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 7.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. MTW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19