MTDR
Matador Resources Company Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Matador Resources Company (MTDR) closed at $47.35 as of 2026-02-02, trading 9.0% below its 200-week moving average of $52.03. This places MTDR in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -13.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, MTDR is in overbought territory.
Over the past 683 weeks of data, MTDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MTDR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +47.2%.
With a market cap of $5.9 billion, MTDR is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.9%. Return on equity stands at 16.1%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Share count has increased 6.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 13.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MTDR would have grown to $648, compared to $578 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 15.2% vs 14.3% for the index — confirming MTDR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -4.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: MTDR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MTDR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying MTDR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +42.4% after 12 months (median +41.0%), compared to +14.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.0% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MTDR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MTDR has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +47.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2013 | May 2013 | 20 | 22.2% | +146.6% | +516.3% |
| Dec 2014 | Dec 2014 | 2 | 3.9% | +46.9% | +226.7% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 8 | 24.2% | +70.6% | +225.0% |
| Mar 2017 | Mar 2017 | 1 | 0.7% | +33.3% | +131.4% |
| Apr 2017 | May 2017 | 2 | 2.7% | +51.7% | +132.2% |
| Jun 2017 | Jul 2017 | 4 | 8.4% | +20.9% | +133.7% |
| Nov 2018 | Feb 2021 | 119 | 92.5% | -39.9% | +104.5% |
| Mar 2025 | Ongoing | 49+ | 25.7% | Ongoing | +7.1% |
| Average | 26 | — | +47.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02