MTCH
Match Group Inc. Communication Services - Internet Investor Relations →
Match Group Inc. (MTCH) closed at $31.06 as of 2026-03-20, trading 17.9% below its 200-week moving average of $37.84. This places MTCH in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -19.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 4.9x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1682 weeks of data, MTCH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MTCH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +56.2%.
With a market cap of $7.3 billion, MTCH is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.9%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -28.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 16.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 32.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MTCH would have grown to $4854, compared to $2485 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.8% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming MTCH as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 3 open-market purchases totaling $2,931,799. Notably, these purchases occurred while MTCH is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 29% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MTCH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MTCH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying MTCH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +48.3% after 12 months (median +37.0%), compared to +12.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +98.8% vs +29.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MTCH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MTCH has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +56.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1993 | Jan 1994 | 2 | 3.6% | +7.5% | +4754.2% |
| Jan 1994 | Mar 1994 | 8 | 19.9% | N/A | +4878.7% |
| Apr 1994 | Apr 1994 | 1 | 3.4% | -5.0% | +4754.2% |
| May 1994 | Jun 1994 | 7 | 10.6% | +12.5% | +4754.2% |
| Sep 1994 | Oct 1994 | 3 | 2.2% | +241.5% | +4635.8% |
| Jan 1995 | May 1995 | 18 | 11.8% | +217.5% | +4754.2% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 6.7% | +11.4% | +556.0% |
| Oct 2001 | Nov 2001 | 3 | 3.6% | +16.6% | +549.0% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2002 | 4 | 10.0% | +82.8% | +476.2% |
| Aug 2002 | Oct 2002 | 8 | 21.7% | +72.7% | +466.6% |
| Dec 2002 | Dec 2002 | 1 | 4.6% | +48.3% | +451.4% |
| Jan 2003 | Feb 2003 | 5 | 5.9% | +52.3% | +429.9% |
| Aug 2004 | Mar 2006 | 84 | 30.0% | +15.8% | +453.9% |
| Mar 2006 | Oct 2006 | 31 | 20.2% | +28.0% | +357.5% |
| Jul 2007 | Feb 2010 | 134 | 39.9% | -41.4% | +344.3% |
| May 2010 | May 2010 | 3 | 6.1% | +72.0% | +470.9% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 1.6% | +76.3% | +445.2% |
| Nov 2015 | Sep 2016 | 44 | 44.6% | +17.9% | +121.0% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 8.1% | +74.3% | +116.8% |
| Feb 2017 | Apr 2017 | 9 | 8.4% | +142.2% | +95.8% |
| Jun 2017 | Jul 2017 | 4 | 3.1% | +152.3% | +97.3% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 7.1% | -59.9% | -63.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Ongoing | 206+ | 68.3% | Ongoing | -65.3% |
| Average | 25 | — | +56.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MTCH below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Match Group Inc. (MTCH) is trading 17.9% below its 200-week moving average of $37.84. The current price is $31.06.
What is MTCH's 200-week moving average price?
Match Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $37.84 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MTCH drops below its 200-week moving average?
MTCH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +56.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is MTCH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MTCH as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 11.9%. Price-to-book is -28.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MTCH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 32.3 years, $100 invested in MTCH would have grown to $4854, compared to $2485 for the S&P 500. That's 12.8% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. MTCH has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MTCH pay a dividend?
Yes. Match Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 248.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20