MRVL

Marvell Technology Inc. Technology - Semiconductors Investor Relations →

NO
23.5% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 21.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $65.00
14-Week RSI 40

Marvell Technology Inc. (MRVL) closed at $80.28 as of 2026-02-02, trading 23.5% above its 200-week moving average of $65.00. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 21.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 40, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 1288 weeks of data, MRVL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MRVL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +5.0%.

With a market cap of $69.2 billion, MRVL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.8%. Return on equity stands at 18.0%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.

Share count has increased 2.3% over three years, indicating dilution. MRVL passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.

Over the past 24.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MRVL would have grown to $1401, compared to $882 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.3% vs 9.2% for the index — confirming MRVL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 30% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Growth of $100: MRVL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MRVL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 28 historical episodes, buying MRVL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.9% after 12 months (median -21.0%), compared to +10.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 35% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +39.8% vs +28.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MRVL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

MRVL has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +5.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jun 2001Dec 20012661.6%-9.9%+1217.2%
Dec 2001Dec 200121.1%-47.3%+952.1%
Feb 2002Mar 200247.9%-50.6%+934.0%
Apr 2002May 20035559.4%-26.2%+1059.9%
Jun 2003Jun 200312.0%+54.4%+1133.2%
Mar 2007Jul 20071513.8%-33.8%+460.7%
Jul 2007Nov 200912272.9%-12.9%+459.0%
Aug 2010Aug 201012.6%-13.3%+549.5%
May 2011May 201133.0%-4.5%+542.0%
Jun 2011Jun 2011310.4%-14.7%+554.5%
Aug 2011Sep 2011614.2%-12.4%+623.9%
Sep 2011Oct 201110.2%-36.2%+549.1%
Oct 2011Nov 201139.6%-41.8%+617.2%
Nov 2011Jan 2012610.0%-37.9%+617.2%
Apr 2012Nov 20138151.1%-21.8%+572.2%
Dec 2013Dec 201344.8%+12.9%+570.0%
Aug 2014Aug 201412.1%-1.6%+596.6%
Oct 2014Oct 201425.8%-21.9%+635.2%
Jul 2015Jul 20165433.4%-18.0%+607.9%
Aug 2016Aug 201621.9%+38.5%+656.5%
Dec 2018Dec 201810.3%+76.5%+461.9%
Mar 2020Mar 202010.9%+153.5%+341.8%
Oct 2022Nov 2022411.5%+42.9%+119.7%
Dec 2022Jan 2023716.5%+28.1%+95.9%
Feb 2023May 20231212.4%+54.8%+85.1%
Oct 2023Oct 202312.7%+73.3%+71.1%
Mar 2025Jun 20251021.8%N/A+29.8%
Aug 2025Sep 202521.7%N/A+27.9%
Average15+5.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02