MRTN

Marten Transport, Ltd. Industrials - Trucking Investor Relations →

YES
19.0% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -26.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $16.74
14-Week RSI 75

Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN) closed at $13.56 as of 2026-02-02, trading 19.0% below its 200-week moving average of $16.74. This places MRTN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -26.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 75, MRTN is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2006 weeks of data, MRTN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 38 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MRTN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.2%.

With a market cap of $1106 million, MRTN is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 2.3%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MRTN would have grown to $2893, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.7% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming MRTN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: MRTN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MRTN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 37 historical episodes, buying MRTN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.3% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +10.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 64% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +44.6% vs +20.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MRTN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

MRTN has crossed below its 200-week MA 38 times with an average 1-year return of +15.2% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Aug 1987Mar 199118366.4%-60.0%+2319.9%
May 1991Jun 199149.4%+40.9%+5949.8%
Dec 1995Dec 199511.1%-11.7%+2118.3%
Jan 1996Jan 199620.4%-9.8%+2081.9%
Mar 1996Apr 199610.0%-23.0%+2012.6%
Jun 1996Jul 19975729.6%-18.7%+1979.6%
Mar 1999Apr 1999410.8%+25.6%+1871.8%
May 1999Jun 199911.3%+12.6%+1768.0%
Jun 1999Dec 19992518.2%+8.3%+1748.5%
Jun 2000Jun 200010.5%+26.0%+1674.6%
Oct 2000Jan 20011415.8%+46.2%+1808.2%
Feb 2001Feb 200114.5%+33.9%+1639.8%
Mar 2001Mar 200124.1%+40.7%+1622.9%
Apr 2001May 200126.0%+25.8%+1633.0%
Feb 2007Feb 200710.1%+11.0%+353.9%
Jul 2007Jan 20082731.3%+33.9%+340.5%
Feb 2008Apr 20081010.5%+22.1%+339.6%
Jun 2008Jul 200825.3%+32.4%+315.2%
Sep 2008Oct 200810.8%+3.5%+291.5%
Oct 2008Oct 200817.2%+16.4%+317.8%
Nov 2008Dec 200866.2%+10.0%+299.5%
Jan 2009Jan 200926.5%+8.2%+298.1%
Feb 2009Mar 2009310.0%+13.8%+296.9%
Jul 2009Oct 2009114.2%+31.4%+277.3%
Oct 2009Dec 200974.1%+21.2%+274.7%
Jan 2010Feb 201042.0%+16.2%+283.5%
Aug 2011Jan 20122214.3%+6.4%+264.4%
Jul 2012Jan 20132614.3%+39.5%+231.6%
Sep 2015Oct 201524.8%+29.6%+146.5%
Oct 2015Nov 201544.9%+18.6%+140.8%
Nov 2015Dec 201536.1%+46.9%+140.4%
Jan 2016Mar 201697.1%+44.4%+153.3%
Apr 2016Apr 201612.4%+33.4%+137.4%
Mar 2020Mar 202014.0%+52.8%+37.9%
Apr 2024May 202447.2%-20.8%-18.5%
May 2024Jun 202453.1%-25.3%-20.9%
Jul 2024Jul 202412.6%-20.0%-20.0%
Jul 2024Ongoing80+43.5%Ongoing-22.3%
Average14+15.2%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02