MPW
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Healthcare Facilities Investor Relations →
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPW) closed at $5.36 as of 2026-02-02, trading 12.1% below its 200-week moving average of $6.09. This places MPW in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -18.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1026 weeks of data, MPW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -0.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.0 billion, MPW is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -14.0%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Over the past 19.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MPW would have grown to $218, compared to $783 for the S&P 500. MPW has returned 4.0% annualized vs 11.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -32.9% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: MPW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MPW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying MPW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -5.5% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to -3.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.2% vs +12.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MPW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MPW has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-0.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 0.6% | +9.9% | +98.3% |
| Nov 2007 | Jan 2008 | 8 | 10.0% | -39.0% | +94.7% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.0% | -64.4% | +93.2% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 5.0% | -31.4% | +100.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 57 | 68.3% | -10.9% | +100.3% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 5 | 3.3% | +49.3% | +5.4% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 3 | 4.9% | +16.4% | +1.7% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 0.4% | +17.6% | N/A |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 11.2% | +20.8% | -0.1% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +25.3% | -11.0% |
| May 2022 | Ongoing | 193+ | 76.2% | Ongoing | -56.4% |
| Average | 26 | — | +-0.6% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02