MPW
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Healthcare Facilities Investor Relations →
Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPW) closed at $4.56 as of 2026-03-20, trading 20.7% below its 200-week moving average of $5.75. This places MPW in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -18.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.95 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1032 weeks of data, MPW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -0.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.0 billion, MPW is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 16.8%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -14.0%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Over the past 19.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MPW would have grown to $189, compared to $737 for the S&P 500. MPW has returned 3.3% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -32.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MPW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MPW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying MPW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -5.5% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to -3.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +18.2% vs +12.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MPW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MPW has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +-0.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 0.6% | +9.9% | +71.8% |
| Nov 2007 | Jan 2008 | 8 | 10.0% | -39.0% | +68.7% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.0% | -64.4% | +67.4% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 5.0% | -31.4% | +73.4% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2009 | 57 | 68.3% | -10.9% | +73.5% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 5 | 3.3% | +49.3% | -8.7% |
| Nov 2015 | Nov 2015 | 3 | 4.9% | +16.4% | -11.9% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 1 | 0.4% | +17.6% | -13.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 7 | 11.2% | +20.8% | -13.4% |
| Nov 2016 | Dec 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | +25.3% | -22.9% |
| May 2022 | Ongoing | 199+ | 76.2% | Ongoing | -62.2% |
| Average | 26 | — | +-0.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MPW below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Medical Properties Trust, Inc. (MPW) is trading 20.7% below its 200-week moving average of $5.75. The current price is $4.56.
What is MPW's 200-week moving average price?
Medical Properties Trust, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $5.75 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MPW drops below its 200-week moving average?
MPW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -0.6%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is MPW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MPW as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 43. Free cash flow yield is 16.8%. Return on equity is -14.0%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MPW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 19.8 years, $100 invested in MPW would have grown to $189, compared to $737 for the S&P 500. That's 3.3% annualized vs 10.6% for the index. MPW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MPW pay a dividend?
Yes. Medical Properties Trust, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 7.17%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20