MPLX
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MPLX LP (MPLX) closed at $56.00 as of 2026-02-02, trading 54.1% above its 200-week moving average of $36.34. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 54.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 71, MPLX is in overbought territory.
Over the past 645 weeks of data, MPLX has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 42 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -11.2%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $57.0 billion, MPLX is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. Return on equity stands at 34.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 4.0x book value.
Over the past 12.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MPLX would have grown to $395, compared to $510 for the S&P 500. MPLX has returned 11.6% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 3.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: MPLX vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MPLX Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying MPLX when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -10.8% after 12 months (median -25.0%), compared to +11.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 17% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +4.0% vs +32.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MPLX crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MPLX has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +-11.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2015 | 2 | 6.5% | -24.9% | +197.5% |
| Aug 2015 | Aug 2018 | 153 | 60.4% | -24.7% | +190.7% |
| Aug 2018 | Jan 2019 | 21 | 11.1% | -18.5% | +213.1% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 1.2% | -23.3% | +241.1% |
| Jul 2019 | Jan 2021 | 75 | 60.7% | -28.7% | +272.2% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 2 | 1.9% | +52.7% | +285.1% |
| Average | 42 | — | +-11.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02