MPB
Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. Financial Services - Banks - Regional Investor Relations →
Mid Penn Bancorp, Inc. (MPB) closed at $34.61 as of 2026-02-02, trading 37.9% above its 200-week moving average of $25.10. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 30.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 84, MPB is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1422 weeks of data, MPB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -2.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $802 million, MPB is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 7.3%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Share count has increased 21.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 27.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MPB would have grown to $514, compared to $957 for the S&P 500. MPB has returned 6.2% annualized vs 8.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -10.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: MPB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MPB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying MPB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -3.6% after 12 months (median -6.0%), compared to +13.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 38% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.6% vs +25.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MPB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MPB has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +-2.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1998 | Feb 1999 | 14 | 12.4% | +21.2% | +473.2% |
| Apr 1999 | May 1999 | 7 | 2.0% | -22.9% | +406.1% |
| Jun 1999 | Sep 1999 | 14 | 5.6% | -17.3% | +414.9% |
| Dec 1999 | Feb 2002 | 113 | 40.8% | -28.9% | +411.4% |
| Apr 2002 | May 2002 | 5 | 1.7% | +20.8% | +478.3% |
| Jun 2002 | Aug 2002 | 8 | 0.5% | +34.2% | +483.0% |
| Apr 2007 | Apr 2007 | 2 | 2.2% | +45.5% | +240.4% |
| Dec 2008 | Dec 2008 | 1 | 2.9% | -33.6% | +191.3% |
| Jan 2009 | May 2009 | 19 | 9.7% | -46.4% | +183.8% |
| Jun 2009 | Dec 2012 | 184 | 65.8% | -41.8% | +228.9% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 1 | 0.2% | +26.6% | +94.2% |
| Feb 2019 | Feb 2019 | 1 | 1.4% | +12.0% | +93.2% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 3 | 8.3% | -8.0% | +84.9% |
| Jan 2020 | Mar 2021 | 57 | 33.6% | -5.7% | +76.2% |
| Apr 2023 | Dec 2023 | 35 | 22.1% | -14.7% | +59.2% |
| Jan 2024 | Jul 2024 | 27 | 17.8% | +21.9% | +61.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 | 3.0% | N/A | +47.1% |
| Average | 29 | — | +-2.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02