MP
MP Materials Corp. Materials - Rare Earth Mining Investor Relations →
MP Materials Corp. (MP) closed at $50.60 as of 2026-03-20, trading 67.2% above its 200-week moving average of $30.27. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 89.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.31 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 251 weeks of data, MP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -39.1%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $9.0 billion, MP is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -5.0%. The stock trades at 4.5x book value.
Over the past 4.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MP would have grown to $160, compared to $165 for the S&P 500. MP has returned 10.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying MP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -35.8% after 12 months (median -30.0%), compared to +25.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. After 24 months, the average return was -33.6% vs +53.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MP has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +-39.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 4 | 10.7% | -27.5% | +60.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Nov 2022 | 8 | 14.7% | -28.1% | +61.2% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 7 | 23.8% | -45.8% | +63.9% |
| Feb 2023 | Feb 2023 | 1 | 3.2% | -46.0% | +64.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2025 | 118 | 60.8% | -48.1% | +72.5% |
| Average | 28 | — | +-39.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MP below its 200-week moving average?
No. MP Materials Corp. (MP) is currently 67.2% above its 200-week moving average of $30.27. It would need to fall to $30.27 to cross below the line.
What is MP's 200-week moving average price?
MP Materials Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $30.27 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MP drops below its 200-week moving average?
MP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -39.1%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is MP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MP as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -5.0%. Price-to-book is 4.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.9 years, $100 invested in MP would have grown to $160, compared to $165 for the S&P 500. That's 10.0% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. MP has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20