MOV
Movado Group, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Luxury Goods Investor Relations →
Movado Group, Inc. (MOV) closed at $24.50 as of 2026-02-02, trading 12.6% above its 200-week moving average of $21.76. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 4.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 91, MOV is in overbought territory.
Over the past 1640 weeks of data, MOV has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 35 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MOV at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +0.3%.
With a market cap of $542 million, MOV is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 4.5%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.3% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 31.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MOV would have grown to $1192, compared to $2612 for the S&P 500. MOV has returned 8.2% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: MOV vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MOV Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying MOV when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +3.6% after 12 months (median -1.0%), compared to +6.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 44% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.4% vs +22.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MOV crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MOV has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +0.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1995 | Jun 1995 | 3 | 0.5% | +33.2% | +1176.8% |
| Jan 2000 | Mar 2002 | 111 | 60.3% | -26.6% | +360.7% |
| Aug 2002 | Dec 2002 | 15 | 18.7% | +32.3% | +371.4% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 2.2% | +48.8% | +385.7% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 0.0% | +69.9% | +377.8% |
| Jan 2008 | Jan 2008 | 1 | 2.2% | -59.6% | +90.6% |
| Feb 2008 | Aug 2008 | 23 | 20.3% | -69.8% | +111.1% |
| Sep 2008 | Sep 2008 | 1 | 1.9% | -43.1% | +81.3% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2011 | 131 | 76.8% | -34.2% | +106.3% |
| Jun 2011 | Jun 2011 | 1 | 2.4% | +79.5% | +164.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 9 | 24.0% | +65.0% | +184.1% |
| Nov 2014 | Mar 2015 | 20 | 20.5% | -16.7% | +41.6% |
| Apr 2015 | Oct 2017 | 131 | 38.9% | -6.3% | +22.7% |
| Nov 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 1.0% | +47.5% | +29.4% |
| May 2019 | Mar 2021 | 95 | 67.0% | -58.1% | +32.4% |
| Apr 2023 | Apr 2023 | 1 | 1.0% | +21.9% | +24.5% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 1 | 2.4% | -42.7% | +12.4% |
| Jun 2024 | Jan 2026 | 82 | 48.2% | -36.1% | +11.6% |
| Average | 35 | — | +0.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02