MOH
Molina Healthcare, Inc. Healthcare - Healthcare Plans Investor Relations →
Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) closed at $139.41 as of 2026-03-20, trading 52.4% below its 200-week moving average of $292.96. This places MOH in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -49.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.4x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 1137 weeks of data, MOH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 18 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MOH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.3%.
With a market cap of $7.2 billion, MOH is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 11.0%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 21.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MOH would have grown to $554, compared to $850 for the S&P 500. MOH has returned 8.2% annualized vs 10.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 2 open-market purchases totaling $1,659,493. Notably, these purchases occurred while MOH is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MOH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MOH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying MOH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.4% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +10.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.4% vs +8.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MOH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MOH has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +6.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2005 | Mar 2006 | 36 | 39.3% | +27.8% | +742.5% |
| Apr 2006 | May 2006 | 3 | 5.4% | +3.3% | +541.5% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 2 | 4.6% | +1.1% | +559.0% |
| Nov 2006 | Nov 2006 | 1 | 1.0% | +20.1% | +529.7% |
| Nov 2006 | Apr 2007 | 19 | 10.2% | +12.0% | +525.0% |
| Apr 2007 | Sep 2007 | 19 | 9.6% | -25.0% | +560.1% |
| Jan 2008 | Jun 2010 | 124 | 48.7% | -49.2% | +506.1% |
| Jul 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 0.7% | +29.4% | +659.3% |
| Aug 2010 | Dec 2010 | 18 | 7.1% | +2.1% | +685.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 16.3% | +26.8% | +663.9% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.6% | +46.0% | +206.5% |
| Nov 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 4.1% | +61.8% | +193.3% |
| Feb 2017 | May 2017 | 11 | 13.2% | +49.5% | +189.1% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 3 | 3.2% | -18.3% | -52.5% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2024 | 1 | 5.6% | -33.5% | -51.9% |
| Nov 2024 | Mar 2025 | 19 | 13.0% | -53.3% | -52.6% |
| Apr 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.6% | N/A | -55.7% |
| May 2025 | Ongoing | 44+ | 55.8% | Ongoing | -54.3% |
| Average | 18 | — | +6.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MOH below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) is trading 52.4% below its 200-week moving average of $292.96. The current price is $139.41.
What is MOH's 200-week moving average price?
Molina Healthcare, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $292.96 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MOH drops below its 200-week moving average?
MOH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +6.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 18 weeks on average.
Is MOH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MOH as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 11.0%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MOH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.8 years, $100 invested in MOH would have grown to $554, compared to $850 for the S&P 500. That's 8.2% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. MOH has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20