MOH
Molina Healthcare, Inc. Healthcare - Healthcare Plans Investor Relations →
Molina Healthcare, Inc. (MOH) closed at $131.72 as of 2026-02-02, trading 55.8% below its 200-week moving average of $298.03. This places MOH in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -39.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1131 weeks of data, MOH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MOH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.3%.
With a market cap of $6.8 billion, MOH is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 19.7%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Over the past 21.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MOH would have grown to $523, compared to $903 for the S&P 500. MOH has returned 7.9% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $1,559,365. Notably, these purchases occurred while MOH is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -35.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: MOH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MOH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying MOH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +0.4% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +10.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.4% vs +8.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MOH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MOH has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +6.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2005 | Mar 2006 | 36 | 39.3% | +27.8% | +696.1% |
| Apr 2006 | May 2006 | 3 | 5.4% | +3.3% | +506.1% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 2 | 4.6% | +1.1% | +522.7% |
| Nov 2006 | Nov 2006 | 1 | 1.0% | +20.1% | +494.9% |
| Nov 2006 | Apr 2007 | 19 | 10.2% | +12.0% | +490.5% |
| Apr 2007 | Sep 2007 | 19 | 9.6% | -25.0% | +523.7% |
| Jan 2008 | Jun 2010 | 124 | 48.7% | -49.2% | +472.7% |
| Jul 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 0.7% | +29.4% | +617.4% |
| Aug 2010 | Dec 2010 | 18 | 7.1% | +2.1% | +642.5% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 16.3% | +26.8% | +621.8% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 0.6% | +46.0% | +189.6% |
| Nov 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 4.1% | +61.8% | +177.1% |
| Feb 2017 | May 2017 | 11 | 13.2% | +49.5% | +173.1% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 3 | 3.2% | -18.3% | -55.1% |
| Oct 2024 | Oct 2024 | 1 | 5.6% | -33.5% | -54.5% |
| Nov 2024 | Mar 2025 | 19 | 13.0% | -53.3% | -55.2% |
| Apr 2025 | Apr 2025 | 1 | 0.6% | N/A | -58.1% |
| May 2025 | Ongoing | 38+ | 55.8% | Ongoing | -56.8% |
| Average | 17 | — | +6.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02