MNSO
MINISO Group Holding Limited Consumer Discretionary - Value Retail Investor Relations →
MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) closed at $11.94 as of 2026-06-19, trading 31.0% below its 200-week moving average of $17.31. This places MNSO in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -23.8% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 12, MNSO is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.96 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 248 weeks of data, MNSO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -19.3%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.
With a market cap of $3.7 billion, MNSO is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 18.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
Over the past 4.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MNSO would have grown to $86, compared to $186 for the S&P 500. MNSO has returned -3.0% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MNSO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MNSO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying MNSO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -19.0% after 12 months (median +26.0%), compared to +0.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +73.0% vs +3.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MNSO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MNSO's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MNSO has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +-19.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2021 | Jan 2023 | 68 | 69.7% | -64.9% | N/A |
| Jul 2024 | Sep 2024 | 7 | 5.9% | +26.4% | -16.7% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 16+ | 31.0% | Ongoing | -27.7% |
| Average | 30 | — | +-19.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MNSO below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, MINISO Group Holding Limited (MNSO) is trading 31.0% below its 200-week moving average of $17.31. The current price is $11.94.
What is MNSO's 200-week moving average price?
MINISO Group Holding Limited's 200-week moving average is $17.31 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MNSO drops below its 200-week moving average?
MNSO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. The average one-year return after these crossings was -19.3%, meaning the dips were not reliable buying signals for this particular stock. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is MNSO a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MNSO as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 12 (oversold). Return on equity is 18.8%. Price-to-book is 2.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MNSO compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.8 years, $100 invested in MNSO would have grown to $86, compared to $186 for the S&P 500. That's -3.0% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. MNSO has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MNSO pay a dividend?
Yes. MINISO Group Holding Limited currently pays a dividend yield of 541.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19