MNR

Mach Natural Resources LP Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →

YES
9.1% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -13.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $13.57
14-Week RSI 55

Mach Natural Resources LP (MNR) closed at $12.33 as of 2026-02-02, trading 9.1% below its 200-week moving average of $13.57. This places MNR in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -13.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 55, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 71 weeks of data, MNR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -9.6%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $2.1 billion, MNR is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 6.7%. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.

Share count has increased 8.9% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 1.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MNR would have grown to $89, compared to $123 for the S&P 500. MNR has returned -7.7% annualized vs 14.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 8 open-market purchases totaling $10,024,990. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while MNR is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 21.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: MNR vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MNR Crosses Below the Line?

Across 4 historical episodes, buying MNR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -6.5% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +18.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MNR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Insider Buying Activity

2 conviction buys in the past 12 months (purchases over $500K with meaningful position increases). 🔥 Cluster Buy Detected

DateInsiderTitleValueSharesPosition +%
2025-06-16MCMULLEN WILLIAM WALLACEAffiliated Person$4,162,264280,400+0.4%
2025-06-12MCMULLEN WILLIAM WALLACEAffiliated Person$3,426,374245,129+0.3%

Historical Touches

MNR has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +-9.6% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Sep 2024Dec 20241210.6%-7.5%-11.3%
Feb 2025Jun 20251816.3%-11.7%-11.7%
Jun 2025Jun 202511.5%N/A-10.4%
Jul 2025Ongoing28+20.6%Ongoing-11.8%
Average15+-9.6%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02