MMC

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. Financial Services - Insurance Brokers Investor Relations →

YES
1.6% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -0.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $188.00
14-Week RSI 60

Marsh & McLennan Companies, Inc. (MMC) closed at $185.03 as of 2026-02-02, trading 1.6% below its 200-week moving average of $188.00. This places MMC in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -0.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 2730 weeks of data, MMC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MMC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.4%.

With a market cap of $89.8 billion, MMC is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 28.7%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 5.9x book value.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MMC would have grown to $2710, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. MMC has returned 10.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 8.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: MMC vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MMC Crosses Below the Line?

Across 14 historical episodes, buying MMC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.8% after 12 months (median +13.0%), compared to +22.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 69% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.2% vs +39.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MMC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

MMC has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +17.4% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 1973Nov 197315.0%+3.7%+31246.0%
Dec 1973Dec 197310.4%+1.8%+29779.2%
May 1974Jun 197456.5%+30.8%+29349.5%
Jul 1974Nov 19741826.6%+38.8%+30133.7%
Nov 1974Nov 197410.6%+37.3%+30133.7%
Feb 1978Mar 197832.0%+17.1%+23776.0%
Oct 1978Oct 197811.4%+11.4%+22359.1%
Mar 1980Jun 19801611.3%+14.5%+21413.7%
Nov 1980Dec 198048.4%+15.4%+20670.2%
Jan 1981Feb 198112.1%+1.6%+20840.1%
Jan 1982Mar 1982115.7%+26.9%+19551.9%
Jun 1982Aug 198288.6%+29.2%+19551.9%
May 1984May 198411.0%+76.8%+16818.9%
Sep 1994Dec 1994136.6%+18.4%+2928.1%
Jan 1995Jan 199530.2%+17.9%+2899.7%
May 1995May 199510.5%+25.6%+2874.9%
Jul 2002Aug 2002410.3%+20.1%+615.3%
Sep 2002Oct 2002422.5%+19.6%+642.7%
Dec 2002Dec 200210.9%+5.1%+579.3%
Jan 2003Apr 20031415.2%+17.1%+639.9%
Sep 2003Feb 20042011.1%-2.2%+541.9%
Feb 2004Jul 200822841.1%-32.7%+533.8%
Jul 2008Jul 200810.8%-25.1%+894.9%
Oct 2008Mar 20107532.6%-4.0%+902.3%
May 2010Aug 20101612.8%+37.8%+1039.4%
Mar 2020Apr 202032.5%+48.9%+154.0%
Oct 2025Ongoing15+4.5%Ongoing+4.4%
Average17+17.4%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02