MLM
Martin Marietta Materials Inc. Materials - Construction Aggregates Investor Relations →
Martin Marietta Materials Inc. (MLM) closed at $614.49 as of 2026-05-01, trading 23.9% above its 200-week moving average of $495.74. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 24.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, down-weeks have had more trading volume than up-weeks (0.66 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). That means when people are active, they're more often selling than buying. Sellers are still more in control than buyers.
Over the past 1632 weeks of data, MLM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MLM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.5%.
With a market cap of $37.1 billion, MLM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.4%. Return on equity stands at 9.5%. The stock trades at 3.7x book value.
Over the past 31.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MLM would have grown to $4900, compared to $2635 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.2% vs 11.0% for the index — confirming MLM as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MLM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MLM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying MLM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.6% after 12 months (median +20.0%), compared to +9.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.5% vs +20.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MLM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MLM has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +23.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1995 | Apr 1995 | 13 | 10.3% | +16.2% | +4899.8% |
| Jun 1995 | Nov 1995 | 20 | 6.6% | +23.1% | +4443.1% |
| Nov 1995 | Nov 1995 | 1 | 0.8% | +22.1% | +4473.8% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 2.9% | +23.0% | +2255.8% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 2 | 4.0% | +23.8% | +2211.6% |
| Aug 2000 | Dec 2000 | 18 | 20.0% | +5.0% | +2007.1% |
| Jan 2001 | Feb 2001 | 4 | 6.8% | +10.4% | +1953.8% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 3 | 2.7% | +1.0% | +1889.6% |
| Jul 2001 | Dec 2001 | 22 | 18.9% | -16.9% | +1839.5% |
| Jan 2002 | Oct 2003 | 91 | 35.1% | -28.6% | +1761.0% |
| Jul 2008 | Jul 2008 | 1 | 1.8% | -16.2% | +721.9% |
| Sep 2008 | Dec 2008 | 12 | 35.3% | +5.3% | +762.6% |
| Jan 2009 | Jan 2012 | 160 | 30.9% | -2.3% | +693.1% |
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 18.7% | +37.0% | +783.1% |
| Jul 2012 | Sep 2012 | 6 | 5.8% | +32.4% | +778.1% |
| Sep 2018 | Nov 2018 | 7 | 14.8% | +50.2% | +256.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 10 | 11.2% | +52.0% | +256.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Jul 2020 | 18 | 27.4% | +75.1% | +222.6% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 2.4% | +76.8% | +207.9% |
| Aug 2020 | Sep 2020 | 4 | 2.8% | +80.3% | +204.2% |
| Average | 20 | — | +23.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MLM below its 200-week moving average?
No. Martin Marietta Materials Inc. (MLM) is currently 23.9% above its 200-week moving average of $495.74. It would need to fall to $495.74 to cross below the line.
What is MLM's 200-week moving average price?
Martin Marietta Materials Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $495.74 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MLM drops below its 200-week moving average?
MLM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is MLM a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MLM as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow yield is 2.4%. Return on equity is 9.5%. Price-to-book is 3.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MLM compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.3 years, $100 invested in MLM would have grown to $4900, compared to $2635 for the S&P 500. That's 13.2% annualized vs 11.0% for the index. MLM has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MLM pay a dividend?
Yes. Martin Marietta Materials Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 54.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01