MLCO

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited Consumer Cyclical - Resorts & Casinos Investor Relations →

YES
21.3% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -24.9% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $8.07
14-Week RSI 33

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited (MLCO) closed at $6.35 as of 2026-02-02, trading 21.3% below its 200-week moving average of $8.07. This places MLCO in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -24.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.

Over the past 950 weeks of data, MLCO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 12 times. On average, these episodes lasted 49 weeks. The average one-year return after crossing below was -7.0%, suggesting these dips have not historically been reliable buying opportunities for this stock.

With a market cap of $2.5 billion, MLCO is a mid-cap stock. The stock trades at -1.9x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 11.5% over the past three years.

Over the past 18.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MLCO would have grown to $55, compared to $652 for the S&P 500. MLCO has returned -3.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Growth of $100: MLCO vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MLCO Crosses Below the Line?

Across 12 historical episodes, buying MLCO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -8.4% after 12 months (median -12.0%), compared to +8.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -4.2% vs +24.0% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MLCO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

MLCO has crossed below its 200-week MA 12 times with an average 1-year return of +-7.0% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 2007Feb 201117078.7%-78.1%-45.0%
Mar 2011Mar 201115.4%+100.6%+16.5%
Mar 2015Mar 201531.2%-24.0%-63.5%
Apr 2015Apr 201710547.4%-26.4%-64.5%
Jul 2017Aug 201731.3%+21.4%-66.5%
Oct 2018Dec 20181218.5%+11.0%-64.7%
Sep 2019Oct 201921.8%-12.9%-66.3%
Jan 2020Feb 202010.1%-20.0%-68.2%
Feb 2020Feb 20215245.4%+26.1%-63.0%
Mar 2021Jun 202522571.0%-67.7%-69.5%
Oct 2025Oct 202524.2%N/A-19.3%
Dec 2025Ongoing9+24.9%Ongoing-21.7%
Average49+-7.0%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02