MHK
Mohawk Industries, Inc. Consumer Cyclical - Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Investor Relations →
Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) closed at $96.21 as of 2026-03-20, trading 15.6% below its 200-week moving average of $114.02. This places MHK in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -10.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 39, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.78 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1724 weeks of data, MHK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MHK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.4%.
With a market cap of $5.9 billion, MHK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 4.7%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Over the past 33.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MHK would have grown to $687, compared to $2609 for the S&P 500. MHK has returned 6.0% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MHK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MHK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying MHK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.4% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +7.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +50.5% vs +15.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MHK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MHK has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +20.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1994 | Aug 1995 | 59 | 38.9% | -12.1% | +724.7% |
| Aug 1995 | Sep 1995 | 2 | 1.2% | +27.1% | +701.7% |
| Sep 1995 | Jul 1996 | 40 | 30.7% | +47.1% | +724.7% |
| Jul 1996 | Aug 1996 | 3 | 6.6% | +35.9% | +696.2% |
| Mar 1997 | Apr 1997 | 2 | 3.0% | +132.4% | +612.7% |
| May 1997 | May 1997 | 1 | 1.0% | +144.6% | +617.1% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 4 | 8.6% | +10.7% | +356.8% |
| Feb 2000 | Apr 2000 | 11 | 15.1% | +34.8% | +341.1% |
| May 2000 | Jul 2000 | 8 | 13.2% | +32.3% | +316.0% |
| Aug 2000 | Dec 2000 | 16 | 21.2% | +83.9% | +296.7% |
| Jun 2006 | Oct 2006 | 17 | 11.7% | +38.7% | +34.3% |
| Oct 2006 | Nov 2006 | 4 | 7.0% | +9.0% | +28.3% |
| Dec 2006 | Jan 2007 | 4 | 2.7% | -0.7% | +26.6% |
| Sep 2007 | Oct 2007 | 1 | 0.4% | -14.0% | +18.3% |
| Oct 2007 | Oct 2007 | 1 | 0.1% | -40.9% | +17.7% |
| Nov 2007 | Feb 2011 | 170 | 75.7% | -51.2% | +20.1% |
| Feb 2011 | Mar 2011 | 4 | 2.7% | +6.8% | +64.6% |
| Jul 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 22.9% | +37.5% | +84.9% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.1% | +75.0% | +93.3% |
| May 2018 | Jun 2018 | 1 | 0.2% | -33.7% | -52.9% |
| Jul 2018 | Feb 2021 | 133 | 69.0% | -29.6% | -47.4% |
| Feb 2022 | Jul 2024 | 128 | 41.0% | -19.7% | -33.3% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 2 | 2.6% | -8.4% | -26.5% |
| Dec 2024 | Aug 2025 | 35 | 18.9% | -15.5% | -26.5% |
| Oct 2025 | Oct 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | N/A | -18.1% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 10 | 7.9% | N/A | -15.3% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 3+ | 15.6% | Ongoing | -10.4% |
| Average | 25 | — | +20.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MHK below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK) is trading 15.6% below its 200-week moving average of $114.02. The current price is $96.21.
What is MHK's 200-week moving average price?
Mohawk Industries, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $114.02 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MHK drops below its 200-week moving average?
MHK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is MHK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MHK as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 39. Free cash flow yield is 11.1%. Return on equity is 4.7%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MHK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.1 years, $100 invested in MHK would have grown to $687, compared to $2609 for the S&P 500. That's 6.0% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. MHK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20