MGPI
MGP Ingredients, Inc. Consumer Defensive - Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries Investor Relations →
MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI) closed at $26.27 as of 2026-02-02, trading 63.8% below its 200-week moving average of $72.60. This places MGPI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -65.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1898 weeks of data, MGPI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 50 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MGPI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.4%.
With a market cap of $559 million, MGPI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 26.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -1.7%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 3.5% reduction over three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MGPI would have grown to $253, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. MGPI has returned 2.8% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: MGPI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MGPI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 15 historical episodes, buying MGPI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.2% after 12 months (median -24.0%), compared to +11.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 27% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +52.1% vs +29.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MGPI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
MGPI has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +17.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1990 | Nov 1990 | 41 | 28.8% | -7.7% | +366.0% |
| Dec 1990 | Dec 1990 | 1 | 0.7% | +47.8% | +408.7% |
| Jan 1991 | Jan 1991 | 1 | 0.0% | +47.5% | +404.8% |
| Dec 1994 | Jun 2001 | 339 | 52.5% | -35.1% | +198.6% |
| Jul 2001 | Oct 2001 | 11 | 16.0% | +20.8% | +542.5% |
| Aug 2002 | Jun 2003 | 45 | 35.5% | -18.1% | +554.2% |
| Jul 2003 | Oct 2003 | 14 | 14.5% | +317.1% | +653.0% |
| Sep 2007 | Sep 2010 | 159 | 95.6% | -65.4% | +128.8% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 2 | 3.6% | -41.9% | +412.1% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 20.8% | -34.9% | +415.1% |
| Oct 2011 | Jan 2012 | 12 | 21.3% | -39.5% | +407.1% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 2.1% | -24.9% | +430.8% |
| Mar 2012 | Mar 2014 | 101 | 43.2% | -18.4% | +444.0% |
| Apr 2014 | May 2014 | 2 | 2.3% | +163.9% | +410.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Feb 2021 | 78 | 58.9% | -30.2% | -45.8% |
| Jul 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 0.1% | +77.4% | -54.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Aug 2024 | 18 | 11.7% | -63.2% | -65.4% |
| Sep 2024 | Ongoing | 74+ | 69.8% | Ongoing | -68.5% |
| Average | 50 | — | +17.4% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02