MGA
Magna International Consumer Cyclical Investor Relations →
Magna International (MGA) closed at $65.66 as of 2026-07-24, trading 39.2% above its 200-week moving average of $47.16. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 41.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2133 weeks of data, MGA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times. On average, these episodes lasted 23 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MGA at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +8.4%.
With a market cap of $17.9 billion, MGA is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.6%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 6.0%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MGA would have grown to $2144, compared to $3064 for the S&P 500. MGA has returned 9.6% annualized vs 10.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 76.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: MGA vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After MGA Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying MGA when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.9% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +11.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 70% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.4% vs +28.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MGA crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MGA would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where MGA's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-31.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $51.48 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $55.18 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $59.46 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $64.46 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $70.37 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from MGA's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
MGA has crossed below its 200-week MA 29 times with an average 1-year return of +8.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 8.1% | +57.7% | +4746.4% |
| Dec 1985 | Dec 1985 | 1 | 1.9% | +25.2% | +4577.8% |
| Jan 1986 | Feb 1986 | 4 | 2.0% | +22.6% | +4577.8% |
| Nov 1986 | Nov 1986 | 1 | 1.3% | -57.7% | +3826.6% |
| Dec 1986 | Jan 1987 | 3 | 5.0% | -44.4% | +3884.8% |
| Jul 1987 | May 1991 | 201 | 82.1% | -36.4% | +3661.9% |
| Jul 1999 | Apr 2001 | 91 | 27.4% | -5.4% | +959.5% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 7.3% | +24.9% | +1016.7% |
| Apr 2005 | May 2005 | 5 | 2.2% | +23.3% | +609.6% |
| Dec 2007 | Jan 2008 | 3 | 4.7% | -56.3% | +459.1% |
| Feb 2008 | Apr 2008 | 8 | 6.2% | -64.1% | +468.1% |
| May 2008 | Mar 2010 | 95 | 70.1% | -53.7% | +475.1% |
| Jan 2016 | Feb 2016 | 8 | 17.5% | +30.5% | +153.0% |
| Apr 2016 | Apr 2016 | 1 | 1.3% | +3.1% | +123.9% |
| May 2016 | Dec 2016 | 30 | 15.3% | +15.3% | +122.5% |
| Jan 2017 | Jan 2017 | 2 | 1.8% | +39.9% | +104.9% |
| Feb 2017 | May 2017 | 11 | 9.9% | +34.4% | +103.0% |
| Jun 2017 | Jun 2017 | 1 | 1.4% | +53.6% | +98.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 5 | 2.4% | +21.4% | +83.1% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 4 | 5.9% | -14.9% | +85.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 20 | 44.9% | +89.9% | +76.5% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 1.7% | +85.9% | +72.0% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 2 | 5.4% | +68.5% | +70.9% |
| Mar 2022 | Mar 2022 | 1 | 0.5% | -6.8% | +31.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 5 | 6.1% | +7.2% | +38.0% |
| Aug 2022 | Nov 2022 | 10 | 19.5% | +7.9% | +33.2% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 6.3% | -2.5% | +28.1% |
| Feb 2023 | Jul 2023 | 23 | 15.7% | +4.5% | +37.8% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2025 | 117 | 39.3% | -29.8% | +28.1% |
| Average | 23 | — | +8.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MGA below its 200-week moving average?
No. Magna International (MGA) is currently 39.2% above its 200-week moving average of $47.16. It would need to fall to $47.16 to cross below the line.
What is MGA's 200-week moving average price?
Magna International's 200-week moving average is $47.16 as of 2026-07-24. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when MGA drops below its 200-week moving average?
MGA has crossed below its 200-week moving average 29 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +8.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 23 weeks on average.
Is MGA a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about MGA as of 2026-07-24: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow yield is 11.6%. Return on equity is 6.0%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does MGA compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in MGA would have grown to $2144, compared to $3064 for the S&P 500. That's 9.6% annualized vs 10.7% for the index. MGA has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does MGA pay a dividend?
Yes. Magna International currently pays a dividend yield of 301.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-24