MEI

Methode Electronics, Inc. Technology - Electronic Components Investor Relations →

YES
20.7% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -32.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $17.69
14-Week RSI 98
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.1x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 1.02

Methode Electronics, Inc. (MEI) closed at $14.02 as of 2026-06-19, trading 20.7% below its 200-week moving average of $17.69. This places MEI in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -32.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 98, MEI is in overbought territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2230 weeks of data, MEI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought MEI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.3%.

With a market cap of $497 million, MEI is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 15.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -9.3%. The stock trades at 0.7x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 6.5% over the past three years. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.

Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in MEI would have grown to $856, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. MEI has returned 6.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: MEI vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After MEI Crosses Below the Line?

Across 31 historical episodes, buying MEI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.6% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +6.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +62.3% vs +20.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment MEI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices MEI would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score -0.98σ
Current FCF Yield 10.62%
Baseline Yield 14.35%
Historical σ 3.72pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where MEI's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-01-31).

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$5.56Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$6.71Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$8.46Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$11.44Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$17.68Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 31 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from MEI's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

2 stacked signals: sector, value_vs_history
Yield Dislocation -0.46σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.85σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +1.53σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +3.6pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +14.9pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (+1.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

MEI has crossed below its 200-week MA 36 times with an average 1-year return of +14.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Oct 1983Aug 19844237.6%+35.7%+6082.2%
Nov 1986Nov 198611.4%-24.2%+3834.1%
Dec 1986Jan 198732.2%-21.9%+3834.1%
Oct 1987Mar 199012741.0%-1.2%+4292.2%
Oct 1990Oct 199020.5%+96.0%+3673.4%
Jan 1998Feb 199825.1%-4.5%+334.3%
Feb 1998Mar 1998610.0%-28.5%+336.1%
May 1998May 19995334.6%+7.7%+355.5%
Oct 1999Nov 199912.5%+138.3%+301.2%
Nov 2000Dec 200036.2%+5.3%+195.3%
Dec 2000Jul 20013044.3%-4.2%+207.8%
Sep 2001Dec 20011524.7%+57.6%+261.9%
Jan 2002Feb 200236.0%+21.3%+182.7%
Jul 2002Aug 200249.0%+28.0%+157.2%
Sep 2002Nov 20021123.8%+36.9%+143.1%
Jan 2003May 20031920.0%+34.8%+133.1%
May 2005May 200510.0%-4.7%+109.2%
Oct 2005Jan 20061412.9%+3.7%+111.2%
Mar 2006Nov 20063532.8%+27.7%+101.7%
Dec 2006Jan 200754.2%+40.1%+96.8%
Jan 2008Jan 200812.3%-47.2%+83.3%
Feb 2008Jun 20081713.8%-49.3%+83.6%
Jun 2008Aug 2008613.2%-31.0%+99.2%
Aug 2008Jan 20107174.2%-16.5%+89.0%
Aug 2010Nov 20101417.1%+2.7%+103.3%
Aug 2011Oct 20111019.6%+11.6%+124.8%
Nov 2011Jan 2012714.2%+23.2%+142.7%
Apr 2012Jul 20121317.9%+66.9%+117.4%
Jan 2016Jan 201611.0%+66.5%-30.7%
Feb 2016Feb 201611.8%+70.0%-30.9%
Sep 2018Sep 20195139.5%-4.8%-54.3%
Sep 2019Oct 201956.6%-18.4%-51.2%
Jan 2020Nov 20204133.7%+16.9%-49.7%
Jul 2022Jul 202210.3%-4.4%-54.6%
Oct 2022Oct 202210.5%-29.5%-55.4%
Jun 2023Ongoing158+80.2%Ongoing-58.6%
Average22+14.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MEI below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Methode Electronics, Inc. (MEI) is trading 20.7% below its 200-week moving average of $17.69. The current price is $14.02.

What is MEI's 200-week moving average price?

Methode Electronics, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $17.69 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when MEI drops below its 200-week moving average?

MEI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.

Is MEI a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about MEI as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 98 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 15.1%. Return on equity is -9.3%. Price-to-book is 0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does MEI compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in MEI would have grown to $856, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 6.6% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. MEI has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does MEI pay a dividend?

Yes. Methode Electronics, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 173.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19